Maxime Fiset Posted September 1, 2015 Author Share Posted September 1, 2015 2403 was located on the Sun's southern hemishphere and this CME is going north so unlikely it was 2403. Looks more like a far side filament to me. Any CME from 2403 would be directed towards the left (east) on STA as that's where 2403 is now in STA perspective. It is on the east limb if you watch STA.Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 6, 2015 Share Posted September 6, 2015 should we be worried about this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 6, 2015 Author Share Posted September 6, 2015 NO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 6, 2015 Share Posted September 6, 2015 well then i shoud not trust GONG then.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 6, 2015 Author Share Posted September 6, 2015 well then i shoud not trust GONG then.. Yes. You should. GONG did not issue a LEVEL-1 Interplanetary Defcon alert. GONG just did what GONG does. What you are seeing is probably what's left of region 2403. It was decaying when it left the visible side. And even if it were a real, big sunspot region, that would not mean that you have to worry. Do you have memory issues? I have been telling you that for the past MONTHS. Instead of answering, you pop-up in another thread asking if the end of the world is due in 12 days. Now, what you are seeing here is my REAL LIFE name, and my account on this board is linked to my REAL LIFE Facebook profile. Please, BY ALL MEANS, contact me via Facebook. You have anxiety issues, it's obvious, and I think it could help you to discuss with a prepper who is not completely batsh*t crazy. Yes, I am a prepper. No, I do not fear the sun. If you want to know why, you'll have to come up to me on Facebook. My girlfriend tells me I should stop worrying about total strangers out there, on the Internet. Whatcha think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 6, 2015 Share Posted September 6, 2015 i think what is happening is 2408 is mixed with 2403 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 7, 2015 Author Share Posted September 7, 2015 i think what is happening is 2408 is mixed with 2403So what, 2403 was decaying. When it left the visible side, it was like... much smaller in magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 but why does GONG make it bigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 7, 2015 Author Share Posted September 7, 2015 I dunno. It doesn't really look bigger to me. Anyway we still have 20 days until it's geoeffective. There's plenty of time for it to die out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 why does it not look bigger to you? it hasn't done anything in the farside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 7, 2015 Author Share Posted September 7, 2015 It doesn't look bigger because 2403 was already a very big region. It was not very active in that regard. And I have been peaking at STERO A data from yesterday. 2408 is clearly detached from 2403. And again, we still have about 20-21 days before it reaches us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 how can it look big though it is kind of stupid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 7, 2015 Author Share Posted September 7, 2015 how can it look big though it is kind of stupid!It IS big. But big =/= dangerous. It doesn't always correlate so easily. In some regard, 2403 was one of the biggest regions of the past few years, yet it failed to produce any significant, geoeffective flare/CME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 sometimes when you see a big blob on GONG it can mean decay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 And P100 looks like it's getting smaller. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 how do you know that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 I just looked at all the GONG images since august 18 O.o that's how I "know" that. And I said it LOOKS like it's getting smaller. I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 12, 2015 Share Posted September 12, 2015 i wonder about 2415 is going to be any active? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 12, 2015 Share Posted September 12, 2015 oh 2414 like every other sunspot spread apart..so not much activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 12, 2015 Share Posted September 12, 2015 why is 2414 beta gamma but is only doing b class activity it kind of puzzles me what do you think of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 why is 2414 beta gamma but is only doing b class activity it kind of puzzles meJust because a sunspot region is classed as a Beta-Gamma region, it doesn't guarantee it will give us C-class solar flares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 You can even have very complex region (Beta-Gamma-Delta) that doesn't produce anything at all Potential reasons can be lack of magnetic shear, region not compact enough to get it all going... Like with all sunspot regions we can see it's magnetic complexity and determine the capabilities of it (what it might do), but not what it will do. Big difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 13, 2015 Share Posted September 13, 2015 question for you all has this cycle been less exciting than the last one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 so how is 2414 or 1415 doing in terms of complexity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 question for you all has this cycle been less exciting than the last one? Use the tools on the site to compare the 2 cycles and draw your own conclusion. I'd say this solar cycle is much less exciting.http://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/top-50-solar-flareshttp://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity/top-50-geomagnetic-storms so how is 2414 or 1415 doing in terms of complexity? 2415 can be interesting but it will not end the world as we know it just yet. https://www.facebook.com/SpaceWeatherLive/photos/a.319511298163386.72025.133686703412514/816905158423995/?type=1&theater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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