Marcel de Bont Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 SpaceWeatherLive Report Analysis of sunspot region 2132 - August 1, 2014 Analysis of sunspot region 2132 It was 2 weeks ago that we had the first official day without any sunspots on the Sun but the sunspots are back! There are 8 numbered sunspot regions on the earth-facing disk but which region is the most likely region to produce a solar flare? The answer is very clearly sunspot region 2132. Sunspot region 2132 has a solid delta spot just east of the two leader spots and has overall a decent amount of magnetic mixing. This region is still in a phase of growth so it is definitely worth keeping an eye on. It is not yet in a great geo-effective position but that will chance in the coming days. Credit: NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory. What can we expect in the upcoming 24h? Solar activity will likely be low with a chance for moderately strong (R1-R2) activity, sunspot region 2132 being the most likely source. M-class flare probability: 40% chance X-class flare probability: 5% chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Harry Twinotter Posted August 6, 2014 Share Posted August 6, 2014 AR2132 has developed another delta spot in the central region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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