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Message added by Sam Warfel,

Reminder: this thread is for solar activity like flares and CMEs launching from the sunspot.
To discuss the CME's travel or impacts on Earth, please move to this thread in the geomagnetic activity forums.
Thanks!

 

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  • Drax Spacex
    Drax Spacex

    And we've been so well behaved.  No one asserted that the conjunction of the Sun, Jupiter, and Venus was the reason for the high activity from AR3664.  Such restraint deserves a kudos!

  • arjemma
    arjemma

    This region is amazing. Here's the development from May 4th to today. Stabilized.

  • Philalethes
    Philalethes

    Well, do us a favor and stop posting about it here over and over again, especially not using that nonsensical terminology that we all know where originates. We've already addressed it countless times

Posted Images

7 minutes ago, arjemma said:

This region is amazing. Here's the development from May 4th to today. Stabilized.

e74001cc666f9eca825536f64813fdd1.gif

I absolutely love these. Really shows the development of these more complex regions.

Ok.  One last question:  Do you think that if a CME capable of causing severe damage to the electrical grids was on it's way that you guys would know about it 2 days ahead of time and the general population would be notified by somebody other than a youtuber? 

Just now, Franklin said:

Ok.  One last question:  Do you think that if a CME capable of causing severe damage to the electrical grids was on it's way that you guys would know about it 2 days ahead of time and the general population would be notified by somebody other than a youtuber? 

You would get that information anywhere if that were to occur yes.

1 minute ago, Fishaxolotl said:

Well theres nothing that can be done so a youtuber may be the only source.

why should he be the only source.

2 minutes ago, mozy said:

You would get that information anywhere if that were to occur yes.

my thoughts exactly. thank you mozy.

6 minutes ago, Franklin said:

Ok.  One last question:  Do you think that if a CME capable of causing severe damage to the electrical grids was on it's way that you guys would know about it 2 days ahead of time and the general population would be notified by somebody other than a youtuber? 

Yes, we would.  And a YouTuber would be the absolute last place to look for reliable information on scientific subjects.

5 minutes ago, Fishaxolotl said:

Well theres nothing that can be done so a youtuber may be the only source.

You could just leave this community if anyone with a YouTube is so reliable lmao

2 minutes ago, Fishaxolotl said:

Well theres nothing that can be done so a youtuber may be the only source.

Don't let yourself get brainwashed by some random YouTubers just because they have a lot of subs that they've accumulated over the past decade, the more they scare ppl the more clicks & money they get.
That's the last thing I'll say about this and you should too.
 

1 minute ago, mozy said:

Don't let yourself get brainwashed by some random YouTubers just because they have a lot of subs that they've accumulated over the past decade, the more they scare ppl the more clicks & money they get.
That's the last thing I'll say about this and you should too.
 

Agreed.  

As said before, further discussion of Ben Davidson or his sensationalist fear-mongering will be deleted, it is against the rules of these forums.  Thank you for understanding.

1 minute ago, Sam Warfel said:

Agreed.  

As said before, further discussion of Ben Davidson or his sensationalist fear-mongering will be deleted, it is against the rules of these forums.  Thank you for understanding.

👍Giving you a thumbs up in text form, out of reactions 😅

1 minute ago, Sam Warfel said:

Agreed.  

As said before, further discussion of Ben Davidson or his sensationalist fear-mongering will be deleted, it is against the rules of these forums.  Thank you for understanding.

Thank you for keeping this thread more aligned than the planets in our solar system 😉

5 minutes ago, mozy said:

Don't let yourself get brainwashed by some random YouTubers just because they have a lot of subs that they've accumulated over the past decade, the more they scare ppl the more clicks & money they get.
That's the last thing I'll say about this and you should too.
 

Carve in stone!

Here are the LASCO images of the X1.12 Flare CME. Unfortunately I can't tell at all whether part of it hits the earth or not because it looks to me as if most of it goes northwards.

latest.jpg?ex=663e767c&is=663d24fc&hm=41

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2 minutes ago, Parabolic said:

Thank you for keeping this thread more aligned than the planets in our solar system 😉

Agreed! we need to have a system in place while talking about things solar!

5 minutes ago, Misaka said:

Here are the LASCO images of the X1.12 Flare CME. Unfortunately I can't tell at all whether part of it hits the earth or not because it looks to me as if most of it goes northwards.

latest.jpg?ex=663e767c&is=663d24fc&hm=41

Where are the lasco experts when we need them! :D 

8 minutes ago, Misaka said:

Here are the LASCO images of the X1.12 Flare CME. Unfortunately I can't tell at all whether part of it hits the earth or not because it looks to me as if most of it goes northwards.

latest.jpg?ex=663e767c&is=663d24fc&hm=41

Unfortunately LASCO being LASCO, there's only 1 frame and unless that CME is moving REALLY fast, there's some skipped frames. Really need to see a few frames to see how it's spreading out, how fast it's going, etc, etc.

Edited by cgrant26

10 minutes ago, mozy said:

👍Giving you a thumbs up in text form, out of reactions 😅

Heh, I'm out myself. Now I know how @hamateur 1953 feels. I think we need some extra rations for this event.

1 minute ago, cgrant26 said:

Unfortunately LASCO being LASCO, there's only 1 frame and unless that CME is moving REALLY fast, there's some skipped frames. Really need to see a few frames to see how it's spreading out, how fast it's going, etc, etc.

the type 2 radio sweep was rather slow. i still dont know if that does give a clue about cme strength though.

Just now, Philalethes said:

Heh, I'm out myself. Now I know how @hamateur 1953 feels. I think we need some extra rations for this event.

lets go on a strike.

7 minutes ago, Sam Warfel said:

Agreed.  

As said before, further discussion of Ben Davidson or his sensationalist fear-mongering will be deleted, it is against the rules of these forums.  Thank you for understanding.

 

Jeez, you guys are stuck on Ben.  I'm not talking about Ben.  I'm just asking....will we, the general public know before hand that a grid killing storm is coming long before it gets here?  I am sure the governments wouldn't share that information so as to not stoke a panic and I'm sure they would be busy on plans to deal with the aftermath, but would you people get the information out to news organizations?  Would it show up in my google news feed or would I have to check these forums everyday?

I imagine if what you say about Ben is true and a big one was coming, he wouldn't bother posting a video as he wouldn't get paid for it anyway.  He would be out shopping for everything he could get his hands on.  Then again, maybe all you would be too and the forum would be quiet.  Hmmmmm..... :)

So I guess the only way to know for sure ahead of time is to ether learn how to do this stuff myself or have a friend who does.

25 minutes ago, Franklin said:

Ok.  One last question:  Do you think that if a CME capable of causing severe damage to the electrical grids was on it's way that you guys would know about it 2 days ahead of time and the general population would be notified by somebody other than a youtuber? 

I think the big ones get here much quicker. I am no expert. 

2 minutes ago, Franklin said:

 

Jeez, you guys are stuck on Ben.  I'm not talking about Ben.  I'm just asking....will we, the general public know before hand that a grid killing storm is coming long before it gets here?  I am sure the governments wouldn't share that information so as to not stoke a panic and I'm sure they would be busy on plans to deal with the aftermath, but would you people get the information out to news organizations?  Would it show up in my google news feed or would I have to check these forums everyday?

I imagine if what you say about Ben is true and a big one was coming, he wouldn't bother posting a video as he wouldn't get paid for it anyway.  He would be out shopping for everything he could get his hands on.  Then again, maybe all you would be too and the forum would be quiet.  Hmmmmm..... :)

So I guess the only way to know for sure ahead of time is to ether learn how to do this stuff myself or have a friend who does.

All this Data is public. Why wouldnt we know? Why would government need to tell us? We can see what happens in near real time. we discuss it here allllll day. thats why i dont get that you think we wouldnt know? Learning how to read and interpret stuff is always good and thats essentially what we do here, but for other reasons than the one you offer.

3 minutes ago, WhereingtonEvent said:

I think the big ones get here much quicker. I am no expert. 

Some are slow and some are super fast. There's a lot of things that play a factor in strong Geomagnetic storms. Magnetic field orientation in the solar wind is one of the most important factors and often causes CME's to "bounce" off the magnetosphere. There's also a lot of interplay among multiple CME's as well. They could cause major storming if conditions are right or interfere with each other and cause average storming.

After typing this all out I realized your question didn't call for my lengthy explanation and I couldn't have shortened it a bit 😅

The CME is very faint in the southern and western quadrant, but in my opinion, it appears as another halo on both LASCO and STEREO.

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