And just to add this for the guys and gals in Europe too. Was watching a nice production by Dr Tamitha Skov where she illustrates very clearly the enhanced capabilities of these silly phones and their capture abilities in areas where we may typically see very little or nothing at all.  I’m gonna shoot the skyline regardless when we hit KP8.  😎

Here we go again

Just now, mozy said:

Here we go again

where do you see its this region? I remember you once told me how to get really quick SDO frames but i dont remember  ty 

1 minute ago, MinYoongi said:

where do you see its this region? I remember you once told me how to get really quick SDO frames but i dont remember  ty 

I mean what else can it be at this point, unless its the incoming limb 😅

But last frames on SUVI shows movement in this region, so likely it is this

Edited May 9, 20241 yr by mozy

Just now, mozy said:

I mean what else can it be at this point, unless its the incoming limb 😅

But first frames on SUVI shows movement in this region, so likely it is this

thankies   i thought it lost some complexity with the recent flares

Just now, MinYoongi said:

thankies   i thought it lost some complexity with the recent flares

Lol no, nothing even happened to it

And over M7 now...

Just now, mozy said:

Lol no, nothing even happened to it

It prepares for limb show

X it is

1 minute ago, mozy said:

Lol no, nothing even happened to it

i compare pictures hour wise sometimes, i notice small changes and not big ones. i dont mean decay or loosing tons of complexity, i just look which delta shrinks/grows etc 

M9.7 😏

Just now, MinYoongi said:

i compare pictures hour wise sometimes, i notice small changes and not big ones. i dont mean decay or loosing tons of complexity, i just look which delta shrinks/grows etc 

Ah, I don't think there's any point in looking at minor changes in specific deltas with a region like this, too much going on for it to not keep flaring

Judging by how the shortwave flux hasn't even dipped yet I think we'll be seeing another X-flare in 3, 2, 1...

Come on Sun !

Just now, Ester89 said:

M9.7 😏

Actually, I'm late. We are at x 😎

This CME looks to be shooting more north than south just from early SUVI images

Aaaaand another one! lol

Edited May 9, 20241 yr by cgrant26

I guess the R3 blackout notifications starts to get pretty boring right now

2 minutes ago, mozy said:

Ah, I don't think there's any point in looking at minor changes in specific deltas with a region like this, too much going on for it to not keep flaring

Yeah, I hope you now know i did not try to trash talk it  I just observe very close up. i wonder how it sustains itself, usually after some big flares the AR's lose their complexity/power. do you have a guess?

 

Just now, mozy said:

This CME looks to be shooting more north than south just from early SUVI images

What does that mean for us? 

Give us the double peak now 😎

Just now, MinYoongi said:

Yeah, I hope you now know i did not try to trash talk it  I just observe very close up. i wonder how it sustains itself, usually after some big flares the AR's lose their complexity/power. do you have a guess?

 

What does that mean for us? 

It'll be fine for a long time I guess, unless the X-flares really pick up steam or start occurring more often than they currently are.

Just now, mozy said:

This CME looks to be shooting more north than south just from early SUVI images

Yep, looks that way, and that's probably good news considering the position. Also nice how it seems to be erupting fairly well already at the time when it had just barely crossed into M-class, this is probably going to be another good one.

38 minuten geleden, Franklin zei:

 

How are these CMEs compared to the one in 1859?  How much do we know about that one? 

 

We didn’t have satellites up there so it’s a bit unknown. But when you compare it to for example the more recent Halloween storms of 2003, this is just peanuts.

38 minuten geleden, Franklin zei:

Can several in a row weaken the magnetic field so that a G4 would cause more damage than a G4 all by itself? 

No, several CME’s can catch up and just rip me apart, but sometimes multiple CME’s clear the path and make the next CME travel faster and form a bigger impact. But still, you don’t know what direction the IMF will take upon impact so it can still be a nice CME but if the IMF stays north and speed is below 700km/sec you’ll get a storm in a glass of water. Just to say big flare is not always equal to big storm as it depends on many factors. 

42 minuten geleden, Franklin zei:

my power and internet went out for 5 minutes

That has nothing to do with space weather

Just now, Philalethes said:

Yep, looks that way, and that's probably good news considering the position. Also nice how it seems to be erupting fairly well already at the time when it had just barely crossed into M-class, this is probably going to be another good one.

ah i now understand. because the others were rather southern directed the north is better. isnt 5 a bit much?

1 minute ago, MinYoongi said:

i wonder how it sustains itself, usually after some big flares the AR's lose their complexity/power. do you have a guess?

It's probably due to something like what I mentioned here. There's magnetic energy being fed into the region, complexifying it, and magnetic energy being released from the region in the form of flares and CMEs; if the latter outweighs the former, it becomes less complex and dies, but if the former outweighs the latter it will just keep on going. Same has been observed for some of the very most active regions of previous cycles.

Just now, Vancanneyt Sander said:

We didn’t have satellites up there so it’s a bit unknown. But when you compare it to for example the more recent Halloween storms of 2003, this is just peanuts.

No, several CME’s can catch up and just rip me apart, but sometimes multiple CME’s clear the path and make the next CME travel faster and form a bigger impact. But still, you don’t know what direction the IMF will take upon impact so it can still be a nice CME but if the IMF stays north and speed is below 700km/sec you’ll get a storm in a glass of water. Just to say big flare is not always equal to big storm as it depends on many factors. 

 

thank you for chiming in, Sander. 

 

I know its just peanuts compared to 2003 i guess, but is it normal for solar max to have this many cme's coming? 

3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

isnt 5 a bit much?