Just now, MinYoongi said:

Ah, i remember the graphic you showed me.

Yep; that being said, with all the eruptions happening now and how they're messing up the Solar wind around them, it's hard to say to what extent it still applies, because the reason it happens otherwise is due to pressure from the surrounding medium. As mozy says it's still in a good position anyway, and I bet there is some Earth-directed component to this latest eruption anyway. It's looking good, but it's still hard to say how strong it was and the direction.

Even though X2 is large, I wouldn't be surprised if this is dwarfed by the time it reaches the limb. 

Just now, Sotiris Konstantis said:

Even though X2 is large, I wouldn't be surprised if this is dwarfed by the time it reaches the limb. 

In two weeks SolO will measure an X50 flare, of course.

Just now, Philalethes said:

 It's looking good, but it's still hard to say how strong it was and the direction.

Its always interesting how dynamic this stuff is.  

Isnt the direction pretty obvious in Suvi? Thus said, i stumbled across a tweet yesterday, explaining that sometimes that can be the case but the cme changing due to expansion etc.

Comparing it with the 'Top 25 sunspot regions' page on this site. The size is 1200, which would be the 26th largest on that list. Also sunspot number is 62 which would make the 7th highest sunspot number on that list. Also keep in mind that this is yesterday's data. Today it got even larger and hence we are waiting for the numbers to see where it will land on that list.

8 minutes ago, MeteoLatvia said:

I would say it is exciting rather than concerning. We would probably need to be worried if we had 4 CME's each from X20+ solar flare.

Exciting, no doubt! I can't wait to see what awaits us in the next few days.

2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Isnt the direction pretty obvious in Suvi?

Not necessarily in my experience, at least the coronagrams show different directions than I suspect all the time, heh. For this one it seems like the eruption is directed more or less as expected, somewhat southward and slightly "west".

Can now see the shockwave travel across center-disk 😎

Topped out at X2.25, nice 

Just now, mozy said:

Can now see the shockwave travel across center-disk 😎

in 195 i saw a bit movement there too  Where can i see it better? 

3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

in 195 i saw a bit movement there too  Where can i see it better? 

284 🤪

Just now, mozy said:

284 🤪

didnt know that wavelength was good for anything lol.. i always skipped it.

Here for the historical record 😄 

the 4th ingredient for the CME sandwich flying at earth

The only future issue I see here is that we are being spoiled with all the flare activity and a week from now we’ll be complaining that the activity is too slow, weak and boring 😜😂🤣

I'm screaming at the memes.. loool

3 minutes ago, Justanerd said:

The only future issue I see here is that we are being spoiled with all the flare activity and a week from now we’ll be complaining that the activity is too slow, weak and boring 😜😂🤣

lmaooo that always happens to me

when i see flare that is lower than X now i think "nah it's too boring i won't even look at it" while in the other day i would be jumping bc of the excitement

Edited May 9, 20241 yr by tniickck

3 minutes ago, Justanerd said:

The only future issue I see here is that we are being spoiled with all the flare activity and a week from now we’ll be complaining that the activity is too slow, weak and boring 😜😂🤣

I thought just the same 🤣

AR 3664 does it again with a long duration X2.2 solar flare peaking at 09:13 UTC (May 9). Coronal dimming is already evident meaning this flare will likely be the source of a fourth Earth directed CME.
The geomagnetic storm watch for this weekend was upgraded to the Strong (G3) level and this latest event could add even more fuel to the storm. Aurora sky watchers rejoice, it may be a great weekend!

From Solarham.  

Update: Something is visible in stereo A 

5 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

AR 3664 does it again with a long duration X2.2 solar flare peaking at 09:13 UTC (May 9). Coronal dimming is already evident meaning this flare will likely be the source of a fourth Earth directed CME.
The geomagnetic storm watch for this weekend was upgraded to the Strong (G3) level and this latest event could add even more fuel to the storm. Aurora sky watchers rejoice, it may be a great weekend!

From Solarham.  

Update: Something is visible in stereo A 

40 minutes worth X. Pretty good for me.

1 minute ago, Wolf star said:

40 minutes worth X. Pretty good for me.

  Im happy youre happy.  

Does the come-down length matter too? I think since the CME is already ejected not?

13 minutes ago, Justanerd said:

The only future issue I see here is that we are being spoiled with all the flare activity and a week from now we’ll be complaining that the activity is too slow, weak and boring 😜😂🤣

But now it's his turn > X10, so then we won't be excited about the X5 either.

Could you guys just imagine if this thing comes around in the next rotation and we see that it doubles in size? My god...

funfact: Im trying to find out which portion of the region exactly made the flare, but its too bright  

Great stuff people! Lets hope that there is a real big CME X Flare in the offing🙏🏼