Just now, cgrant26 said:

And there's another X1 just now. Not 100% it's from 3664 but the last couple frames on the SDO movie show it brightening so I believe it is.

The latest image from SDO clearly shows that it comes from this region.

Just now, cgrant26 said:

And there's another X1 just now. Not 100% it's from 3664 but the last couple frames on the SDO movie show it brightening so I believe it is.

You should really start using Suvi for this   Yes, from this sunspot. 

Doesn't look very eruptive. Pretty sure this region is dying down, probably won't be launching anything massive past the limb. It certainly did its job, though.

1 hour ago, Philalethes said:

Doesn't look very eruptive. Pretty sure this region is dying down, probably won't be launching anything massive past the limb. It certainly did its job, though.

Once it passes the limb we get a carrington event sized flare and CME, trust me on this one

Looks like some of the shear has diminished. I pointed out the remaining areas that still has decent shear.

https://ibb.co/q9JKsmJ

It's currently producing a decent CME, bunch of loops are lifting slowly

14 minutes ago, mozy said:

It's currently producing a decent CME, bunch of loops are lifting slowly

Too far west for earth impact?

3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Too far west for earth impact?

Definitely

25 minutes ago, mozy said:

Definitely

It looks very westward too from dimmings, I thought maybe a chance for a glance but I’m unsure.. rather not ?

 Im confused. Is it not well off the west limb or not o.O

M6.66 flare... should we be afraid of the beast?

 

18 hours ago, Adohran said:

Once it passes the limb we get a carrington event sized flare and CME, trust me on this one

Solar Orbiter / STIX will tell us... Now monitoring the far side of the Sun.

 

3 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

It looks very westward too from dimmings, I thought maybe a chance for a glance but I’m unsure.. rather not ?

 Im confused. Is it not well off the west limb or not o.O

Full -halo on LASCO. Nice. It'll be a glancing blow but still a blow.

Edited May 13, 20241 yr by cgrant26

24 minutes ago, cgrant26 said:

Full -halo on LASCO. Nice. It'll be a glancing blow but still a blow.

Are you sure? Can you maybe show? 

I don’t know if it’s a full halo I suck. But to me it looks very south west

@mozy do you maybe have a clue? 

can some objects reflect light from the aurora borealis?

6 minutes ago, cgrant26 said:

How much will hit us? I sadly never learned lasco.  

7 minutes ago, cgrant26 said:

It's surprisingly wide for the longitude; still wouldn't expect too much though, but we might take another hit indeed.

On an unrelated note, I'd recognize that little star cluster sneaking in to the top left anywhere, time of year checks out as well.

Just now, Philalethes said:

It's surprisingly wide for the longitude; still wouldn't expect too much though, but we might take another hit indeed.

On an unrelated note, I'd recognize that little star cluster sneaking in to the top left anywhere, time of year checks out as well.

What do you personally expect? Much of a hit/flanking encounter or more? And is it a fast CME ? 
 

I noticed that cluster too! Can you tell us what it is?:)

2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

What do you personally expect? Much of a hit/flanking encounter or more? And is it a fast CME ? 
 

I noticed that cluster too! Can you tell us what it is?:)

Doesn't look like it's very fast but I'll defer to the experts on that.

Pleiades star cluster:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pleiades

Edited May 13, 20241 yr by cgrant26

I might need to get my first licnce plate as G5SolFlr24

Just now, MinYoongi said:

What do you personally expect? Much of a hit/flanking encounter or more? And is it a fast CME ? 

I don't expect much, indeed more getting grazed, but we'll see. The initial speed is middling, something like 1000 km/s from a quick estimate (probably not entirely right).

21 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

I noticed that cluster too! Can you tell us what it is?:)

It's the asterism Subaru.

Anyone know why gold shining in aurora light?

Now I'm wondering if that full halo CME was actually 2 simultaneous CMEs. In AIA 131 you can see something launching from 3673 at the same time.

Bye bye old friend, we hope to see you later when you return (don't you think about disappearing). 

Hopefully we will get a glancing blow but who knows. Things have really calmed down.

And we've been so well behaved.  No one asserted that the conjunction of the Sun, Jupiter, and Venus was the reason for the high activity from AR3664.  Such restraint deserves a kudos!

Looking at 131a it seems as though it gave us another goodbye x.  X 1.72 just now.