Popular Post cgrant26 Posted July 2, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted July 2, 2023 (edited) I've been watching this coming off the limb with high hopes and just now it popped off an M2.0 flare. Maybe this one will make up for stage-fright we've been getting from 3354. There's a nice looking filament wrapping around the southern end of this region too. Edited July 2, 2023 by cgrant26 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThisIsJohnnyT Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 It looks like the complexity may be growing as it rotates onto the Earth facing disk (but I'm still learning how to read the magnetograms better). 3354 was certainly a cool one, but not a producer. Maybe this one will be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThisIsJohnnyT Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 So this region spit out back to back M class flares (7/1-7/2). One of these was sort of eruptive, the other more impulsive. I can't really tell though if HMIBC images indicate any growing complexity or not though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Do we have our first CME from this region towards earth? @Philalethes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 21 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Do we have our first CME from this region towards earth? @Philalethes Thinking about the CME originating around 04:00-05:00 on the coronagrams? It does look pretty wide, but I have a hard time seeing where it originates; maybe I'm just blind, or maybe it's from the far side. Solar Demon does detect some dimming around this AR at that point though, and it would correspond well to the direction of it. If it is from this region I'd say there's a chance of an Earth-directed component given that the angle of the eruption is around 180°, but it's hard to say for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_00_ Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) and it possible interaction with 13358 and with more slow 13357 ? these can trigger a large bridge Edited July 4, 2023 by _00_ typo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 24 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Thinking about the CME originating around 04:00-05:00 on the coronagrams? cgrant pointed out the filament south of the region. It might be possible that it rose and finally released Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) it grows really slow, but it is a beta-gamma now it produced as much m-flares as AR 3354 xd Edited July 4, 2023 by tniickck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 20 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: cgrant pointed out the filament south of the region. It might be possible that it rose and finally released Definitely a possibility, just didn't spot it when glancing at the imagery. Looking at it again now I do see something happening there in 304 Å, but can't say it looks exactly like a filament erupting/releasing. I could be wrong, maybe someone else can tell what's going on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 2 hours ago, Philalethes said: Thinking about the CME originating around 04:00-05:00 on the coronagrams? It does look pretty wide, but I have a hard time seeing where it originates; maybe I'm just blind, or maybe it's from the far side. Solar Demon does detect some dimming around this AR at that point though, and it would correspond well to the direction of it. If it is from this region I'd say there's a chance of an Earth-directed component given that the angle of the eruption is around 180°, but it's hard to say for sure. Found this analysis from SIDC... "Solar coronal dimming was observed today, on July 04, starting at around 02:12 UTC and ending around 04:09 UTC. The coronal dimming was located close to the Sunspot region NOAA AR 3359. A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME), associated to the dimming, was first observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 at around 04:12 UTC on July 04. The CME is directed to the south-east and the bulk of the CME is not expected to be Earth directed. However, a glancing blow at Earth is possible. Analysis is ongoing to estimate the potential impact of the CME and its arrival time." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 I'm not expecting much from the CME. Maybe some under 4 days travel time at best, which at best is to hope for the solar wind velocities to be extremely low before arrival. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 just saw a message from NOAA that a G1 storm is predicted on Jul 7, looks like this was this CME 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 12 hours ago, tniickck said: just saw a message from NOAA that a G1 storm is predicted on Jul 7, looks like this was this CME Interesting. Looking at the image in their notice here it seems like we're more in the line of fire according to them than I would have expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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