Sam Warfel Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 There was a chance we’d get a CME impact from all those CMEs that launched a few days ago, especially that big one that could have been farside or Earthside. I don’t see anything yet, is it possible they’d still come, or is it too late and they all missed us? Personally I suspect the latter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 I am not aware of any CMEs that could arrive at our planet. There was a major one on the 26th but that is far side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted June 29, 2022 Author Share Posted June 29, 2022 I thought it was not able to be fully determined that that one was farside, and additionally some other more minor ones launched around the same time, making it hard to sort out what’s what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 (edited) 4 hours ago, Marcel de Bont said: I am not aware of any CMEs that could arrive at our planet. There was a major one on the 26th but that is far side. 3 hours ago, Orneno said: I thought it was not able to be fully determined that that one was farside, and additionally some other more minor ones launched around the same time, making it hard to sort out what’s what Hello, latest forecast from SWPC. If I was a betting man I would have a dollar each way! LOL 😄 N. Edited June 30, 2022 by Newbie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 28 minutes ago, Newbie said: If I was a betting man I would have a dollar each way! LOL 😄 I'm not sure who would take that bet 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 30 minutes ago, Orneno said: I'm not sure who would take that bet 😂 We bet on two flies crawling up a wall here in Aus. I'm sure someone would take the bet! 😄 😄 N. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 @Orneno @Newbie @Marcel de Bont maybe this answers your questions? Weird : Noaa says nothing in forecast discussion? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) 28 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Weird : Noaa says nothing in forecast discussion? Min, quite interesting That's the downside to SDO etc. being offline isn't it? There didn't seem to be any major flaring around that time according to the 7 day graph from GOES X-ray flux. Solarsoft was down like everything else. Wait and see? Newbie. By the way 10^-6 Watts/m^2 is C class, up to 10^-5. Edited July 1, 2022 by Newbie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 2 hours ago, MinYoongi said: @Orneno @Newbie @Marcel de Bont maybe this answers your questions? Weird : Noaa says nothing in forecast discussion? Seems pretty over-hyped, that CME looks really slow and weak 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 48 minutes ago, Orneno said: Seems pretty over-hyped, that CME looks really slow and weak Hahaha and I thought Tamitha was one of the better ones! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 14 hours ago, Newbie said: Hahaha and I thought Tamitha was one of the better ones! I thought so too, so that’s a bit weird. Sorry to say it @MinYoongi but she seems rather off-target here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Tamitha is a great ambassador promoting space weather and is incredibly knowledgeable. I wish I knew even 10% of what she can about space weather. But she does occasionally talks about solar storms in her forecasts which are not earth-directed (if you ask me) or hype very weak CMEs too much. Too much hype sometimes but that is her style with the news I guess. Otherwise she's great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 I think a little solarstorm arrived 🙂 And yep, full agree @Marcel de Bont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 2, 2022 Author Share Posted July 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Marcel de Bont said: Tamitha is a great ambassador promoting space weather and is incredibly knowledgeable. I wish I knew even 10% of what she can about space weather. But she does occasionally talks about solar storms in her forecasts which are not earth-directed (if you ask me) or hype very weak CMEs too much. Too much hype sometimes but that is her style with the news I guess. Otherwise she's great. That’s probably just what she is driven to do to get views and attention, which granted is not all bad, it gives her the platform to spread real science knowledge and combat pseudoscience and fearmongering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 A solar storm in June or July isn't worth much for high latitude northern hemisphere observers. The Sun keeps the sky bright for long hours, or doesn't let it get dark or even set at all. You would have to be further south actually, meaning it necessitates stronger storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 2, 2022 Author Share Posted July 2, 2022 (edited) Yup, it's not much good for me. Also the whole auroral oval is biased towards the Southern Hemisphere in the summer. Too bad the wind speed isn't higher, this Bz is crazy right now! With a high speed wind we could have had a G2 or even a G3! But the actual CME missed us, so no speed increase. It was a very slow one too after all. Edited July 2, 2022 by Orneno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 G1 reached. Aurora visible from North Dakota 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 22 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: G1 reached. Aurora visible from North Dakota Cloudy skies down here in Southern Victoria, too far North to see anything at Kp 5. Enjoy! N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, Newbie said: Cloudy skies down here in Southern Victoria, too far North to see anything at Kp 5. Enjoy! N. It looks like the storm is still strengthening a bit, so if not for the clouds, I would imagine a brilliant show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWill Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 (edited) On 6/30/2022 at 8:35 PM, Newbie said: Min, quite interesting That's the downside to SDO etc. being offline isn't it? There didn't seem to be any major flaring around that time according to the 7 day graph from GOES X-ray flux. Solarsoft was down like everything else. Wait and see? Newbie. By the way 10^-6 Watts/m^2 is C class, up to 10^-5. Whom ever developed the “DISASTER RECOVERY PLAN” at Stanford for the SDO, etc., should not only be fired and shot, but drawn and quartered as well! There have to be multiple receivers around the globe. So the data is still coming in, but it’s not coming out of Stanford (I think that happens to a lot of students there as well..). it would not be so difficult to have a backup server for image proceedings, handling and distribution- in case the f this type of situation. This is also a pretty minimal cost,solutions. You could go so far as to have a complete failure system, so that if “the system” goes down, it automatically fails over to the redundant system, in about 15 seed - most users won’t even notice the failover! Ypumvanmspend as much as you want on disaster recovery and business continuance systems and plans. It’s all about what does it cost the business to be “closed for repairers”? It would seem they don’t view this system as being of much import! Thats my $0.02 worth! WW Edited July 2, 2022 by WildWill 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 Absolutely stunning show over the Northern U.S. and Southern Canada last night. My camera wasn't working, so I didn't get any photos myself, but I went out and still managed to see them naked-eye. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 Awesome pics, thanks for sharing them N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 2, 2022 Author Share Posted July 2, 2022 Thanks! I hope you get your camera back working soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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