MinYoongi Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Hello 🙂 I just read this tweet from someone that works at Met (i think) spaceweather office. Did i miss something? More than 1000km/s ? i believe noaa did not say anything? Also why only g1-g2 with such high speed? Anyways for you aurora watchers stay alert   additional info: Noaa writes in their forecast : The CME from the 29/0730 UTC M-flare was reanalyzed with a potential glancing blow at Earth early on 02 May.  I do think they mean this one?  but here : https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/ it says it will hit tonight/tomorrow morning ? Thats MUCH faster. only 31h travel time.. why only kp 5-7 ? also noaa didnt even model it i think? here is nasa model but its not pausable so i dont know when they expect imapct..  https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 It is this one but I do not think it will arrive   1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 51 minutes ago, Marcel de Bont said: It is this one but I do not think it will arrive   Yeah, confidence ranges from 75% to 20%.. I'm just wondering why it is only 5-7 KP-wise but so damn fast?  Initially Noaa did say it will not arrive, but apparently the model got a rerun. (Posted it above)  1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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