When does solar maximum truly occur?

[Sammyy]

I've been reading a little about solar acitvity for the past 12 months. On different sites here & there. I often read articles mentioning solar maximum is expected between 2024 and 2026 for this solar cycle. Which is about 5 years into a commonly 11 year long cycle.

But if one looks at the graphs on this website for the solarcycles. Many times the maximum is reached around 3 years into the cycle. Then the maximum almost continues for a few years and then dips. So I don't see why solar maximum wouldn't be around 2023?

Mathematically speaking, when looking at SC21 & 22, it occurred around 3 years. That is to say a global maximum in the cycle.

Anyone have any insight?

[Sam Warfel]

Might I refer you to this article, it may help somewhat: https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/news/view/466/20220411-solar-cycle-25-the-overachiever.html

[Sammyy]

Thanks I'll have a look at it @Orneno

[MinYoongi]

28 minutes ago, Sammyy said:

I've been reading a little about solar acitvity for the past 12 months. On different sites here & there. I often read articles mentioning solar maximum is expected between 2024 and 2026 for this solar cycle. Which is about 5 years into a commonly 11 year long cycle.

But if one looks at the graphs on this website for the solarcycles. Many times the maximum is reached around 3 years into the cycle. Then the maximum almost continues for a few years and then dips. So I don't see why solar maximum wouldn't be around 2023?

Mathematically speaking, when looking at SC21 & 22, it occurred around 3 years. That is to say a global maximum in the cycle.

Anyone have any insight?

 

Just now, Orneno said:

Might I refer you to this article, it may help somewhat: https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/news/view/466/20220411-solar-cycle-25-the-overachiever.html

 Sometimes Cycles double peak. Like in 2012 & 2014. Sometimes one of the hemispheres is faster. I dont think were far enough into the cycle to constantly talk about "the overachiever" for everything

[Sammyy]

4 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

 

 Sometimes Cycles double peak. Like in 2012 & 2014. Sometimes one of the hemispheres is faster. I dont think were far enough into the cycle to constantly talk about "the overachiever" for everything

Yeah I thought they were a bit early with the "overachiever" headlines

Im even more curious now to see how it actually turns out. But that will probably take at least a few years to find out

From what I can see many cycles have these "double peaks". Which is also quite interesting.

[Catchmenova]

Hello, I am new...

I was hoping to get some feedback on this cycle predictions research in the link below?

I hope this is an appropriate place to ask.

Thanks

http://spaceref.com/space-weather-2/new-sunspot-cycle-could-be-one-of-the-strongest-on-record-new-research-predicts.html