Double Hit or Combined Single?

[lightpanther]

So the WSA-ENLIL from NOAA of the 31st early morning CME arrival makes it seem like it's likely to be a two-eared Batman (sorry I made that up...I mean a double peak of course, with a dip or lull inbetween). Is that the consensus, or do folks think they will actually combine?

 

By the way are there any other Scottish aurora hunters here? I'm in the Lowlands, and trying to decide whether it's going to be worth it on the terrestrial weather front to head north tomorrow night.

Edited March 29, 2022 by lightpanther
punctuation/grammar

[Marcel de Bont]

Do not look too much into what the model exactly predicts for speed and density but I do agree that these clouds will merge and arrive as one. I made an official topic to discuss the geomagnetic storm watch and expected geomagnetic conditions.

This topic can be used for your second question, if there are any Scottish aurora hunters here feel free to leave a reply.

[Cat Perkinton]

44 minutes ago, lightpanther said:

So the WSA-ENLIL from NOAA of the 31st early morning CME arrival makes it seem like it's likely to be a two-eared Batman (sorry I made that up...I mean a double peak of course, with a dip or lull inbetween). Is that the consensus, or do folks think they will actually combine?

 

By the way are there any other Scottish aurora hunters here? I'm in the Lowlands, and trying to decide whether it's going to be worth it on the terrestrial weather front to head north tomorrow night.

HI lightpanther I am in North Lanarkshire & get to see aurora fairly often here -  tomorrow night's cloud forecast is promising if cold at -4 (currently BBC & Met Office have it as clear skies) Obviously the further North you go the better the chances of seeing activity if the stats don't go massive, but if things really kick off in the G2 level & the Bz is South, you will probably not need to go far from home to get visibility. The beautiful dilemma of aurora hunting, "do I run out to meet it or hope it comes to me". Just note if you are heading North, make sure you know where to head for & try to find somewhere off the beaten track, otherwise you will find some places ( Eg Duck Bay on Loch Lomond ) very busy. 

[lightpanther]

Hi Cat. Yeah I've been up North a number of times...right up in fact! So far though, the aurora has always underperfomed when I got there. Still ok...just less than advertised.

It seems to me that the BBC forecast in general for cloud over Scotland tomorrow night is more optimistic than Met Office, which is showing cloud in most places?

 

[Cat Perkinton]

19 minutes ago, lightpanther said:

Hi Cat. Yeah I've been up North a number of times...right up in fact! So far though, the aurora has always underperfomed when I got there. Still ok...just less than advertised.

It seems to me that the BBC forecast in general for cloud over Scotland tomorrow night is more optimistic than Met Office, which is showing cloud in most places?

 

Im seeing clear skies on both beeb & Met... unless Ive logged into a fantasy forecast by mistake 😬 

[lightpanther]

Cat, it's not so bad where you are, but I am hoping the cloud clears much further North.

[Laney]

On 3/29/2022 at 8:09 PM, lightpanther said:

So the WSA-ENLIL from NOAA of the 31st early morning CME arrival makes it seem like it's likely to be a two-eared Batman (sorry I made that up...I mean a double peak of course, with a dip or lull inbetween). Is that the consensus, or do folks think they will actually combine?

 

By the way are there any other Scottish aurora hunters here? I'm in the Lowlands, and trying to decide whether it's going to be worth it on the terrestrial weather front to head north tomorrow night.

Not Scottish, but German. I am at the Baltic Sea Coast. Still waiting for CME right now but it's rainy or cloudy, so bad luck here...