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Solar Frenzy February 15, 2022! X10-X20 Flare?


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Here is a report from the Solar frenzy.


https://www.stce.be/news/575/welcome.html


Our findings point to an interaction between AR 2936 and a new sunspot born on February 10

Sunspot 2936

January 19 (19:00) - 21 (23:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Ceres –  Mercury - Mars

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 19 (19:00) - 21 (23:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Ceres –  Mercury - Mars

January 21 (09:30) – 22 (02:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Juno across the Sun

January 21 (21:45) – 22 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Pluto across the Sun

 

January 23

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 10 (22:15) – 24 (03:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Neptune – Pallas - Earth

January 17 (21:00) - 26 (05:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Venus

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 23 (03:30) – (17:15), 2022: Conjunction Mercury – Earth and the Sun

January 23 (10:30) - 28 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Mercury

 January 24

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 10 (22:15) – 24 (03:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Neptune – Pallas - Earth

January 17 (21:00) - 26 (05:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Venus

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 23 (10:30) - 28 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Mercury

January 24 (08:30) – 26 (20:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Saturn across the Sun

January 24 (13:15) - 26 (17:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn –  Mercury - Venus

January 25

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 17 (21:00) - 26 (05:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Venus

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 23 (10:30) - 28 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Mercury

January 24 (08:30) – 26 (20:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Saturn across the Sun

January 24 (13:15) - 26 (17:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn –  Mercury - Venus

January 25 (06:00) – (23:55), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Saturn across the Sun

January 25 (08:30) – (22:00), 2022: Conjunction Mercury – Venus and the Sun

New region 12936 [N17E62] rotated into view on January 23 and was numbered by SWPC 2 days later. C flares are possible. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 09:26 UT

January 26

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 17 (21:00) - 26 (05:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Venus

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 23 (10:30) - 28 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Mercury

January 24 (08:30) – 26 (20:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Saturn across the Sun

January 24 (13:15) - 26 (17:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn –  Mercury - Venus

January 26 (19:15) - 29 (04:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Juno – Mercury - Earth

Region 12936 [N17E48] developed slowly and was mostly quiet.

January 27

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 23 (10:30) - 28 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Mercury

January 26 (19:15) - 29 (04:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Juno – Mercury - Earth

January 27 (05:00) – February 1 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

Region 12936 [N17E33] developed further and has become a compact region capable of producing M class flares. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 07:28 UT. The region has produced several low level C flares early on January 28.

January 28

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 23 (10:30) - 28 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Mercury

January 26 (19:15) - 29 (04:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Juno – Mercury - Earth

January 27 (05:00) – February 1 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

Region 12936 [N17E19] developed quickly and is a large, compact region capable of producing major flares. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 02:34, C1.1 @ 02:46, C1.0 @ 04:16, C1.0 @ 08:15, C1.1 @ 17:21 UT.

beta-gamma-delta

area: 0680

 January 29

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 19 (19:15) - 29 (14:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Pluto - Juno – Earth

January 26 (19:15) - 29 (04:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Juno – Mercury - Earth

January 27 (05:00) – February 1 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

Region 12936 [N17E05] continued to develop quickly gaining area and many spots. Major flares, even X flares are possible. The region has a few weak magnetic delta structures, primarily near the center of the region, and one at the southern edge of the nearly symmetrical leading penumbra. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 01:19, C1.1 @ 05:36, C1.0 @ 07:11, C1.3 @ 10:33, C1.1 @ 15:24, C1.3 @ 15:35, C1.6 @ 21:37 UT.

beta-gamma-delta

area: 0860

 January 30

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 27 (05:00) – February 1 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

January 30 (10:45) – 31 (08:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Jupiter across the Sun

Region 12936 [N17W08] has a minor magnetic delta in the southwestern part of the largest trailing penumbra. Otherwise some decay was observed in the central parts. The region still has the potential to produce major flares. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 06:57, C1.7 @ 15:44, C1.6 @ 23:30 UT.

beta-gamma-delta

area: 0850

January 31

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 27 (05:00) – February 1 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

January 30 (10:45) – 31 (08:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Jupiter across the Sun

Region 12936 [N17W21] decayed slowly in the central section, however, both the leading and trailing penumbra are large. Although the region was mostly quiet, there is some polarity intermixing and the potential to produce major flares remains.

beta-gamma

area:0750

February 1

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 27 (05:00) – February 1 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 1 (20:30) – 2 (19:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Neptune across the Sun

Region 12936 [N17W35] lost a few spots and was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 19:16 UT

beta-gamma

area:0670

February 2

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 1 (20:30) – 2 (19:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Neptune across the Sun

February 2 (18:30) – 7 (20:00), 2021: Opposition Saturn - Earth across the Sun

Region 12936 [N17W48] appeared to be in slow decay. Some growth was observed in the intermediate spots with weak polarity intermixing.

beta-gamma

area:0760

 February 3

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 2 (18:30) – 7 (20:00), 2021: Opposition Saturn - Earth across the Sun

Region 12936 [N17W62] gained area in the central spot section while decay was observed in the trailing spots. An M class flare is possible. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 01:02, C1.5 at 05:33, C1.7 @ 08:34, C1.9 11:17, C1.1 @ 19:40, C1.3 @ 20:43 UT

beta-gamma-delta

area:0650

 February 4

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 2 (18:30) – 7 (20:00), 2021: Opposition Saturn - Earth across the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

Region 12936 [N17W76] decayed significantly in the trailing spot section. An M class flare is still possible. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 03:37, C1.1 @ 20:26 (wrongly attributed to AR 12939 by SWPC), C1.8 @ 22:12 UT.

February 5

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 2 (18:30) – 7 (20:00), 2021: Opposition Saturn - Earth across the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 2 (18:30) – 7 (20:00), 2021: Opposition Saturn - Earth across the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (06:00) – 7 (09:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Pallas across the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 6 (16:00) – 7 (18:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Chiron across the Sun

AR 12936 was still active behind the northwest limb. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 01:45, C1.3 @ 05:12, C1.2 @ 11:24 UT.

February 7

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

January 28 (19:00) – February 7 (18:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Vesta – Venus - Earth

February 2 (18:30) – 7 (20:00), 2021: Opposition Saturn - Earth across the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (06:00) – 7 (09:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Pallas across the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 6 (16:00) – 7 (18:15), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Chiron across the Sun

AR 12936 behind the northwest limb. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 00:26, C1.1 @ 07:28, C1.6 @ 08:24 (wrongly attributed to AR 12941 by SWPC), C1.1 @ 09:03, C1.6 @ 11:21 UT.

C2+ flares:

Magnitude

Peak time (UT)

Location

Source

Recorded by

Comment

C2.6

05:33

behind NW limb

12936

GOES16

 

C3.8

12:39

behind NW limb

12936

GOES16

 

C2.4

17:00

behind NW limb

12936

GOES16

 

 February 8

December 2 (13:15) -  February 8 (21:45), 2022 Triple Line Up Jupiter – Pallas – Ceres

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

 February 9

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

 February 10

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 10 (03:00) – 12 (17:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Jupiter across the Sun

 February 11

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 10 (03:00) – 12 (17:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Jupiter across the Sun

 February 12

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 10 (03:00) – 12 (17:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Jupiter across the Sun

February 13

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

 February 14

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

 February 15

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

 

 Interaction with new sunspot born on February 10

February 10 (03:00)

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 10 (03:00) – 12 (17:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Jupiter across the Sun

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

 February 11

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 10 (03:00) – 12 (17:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Jupiter across the Sun

February 12

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 4 (17:15) - 12 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Venus – Mercury - Juno

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 6 (07:30) – 12 (17:30), 2022 Triple Line Up Chiron – Pallas - Mercury

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 10 (03:00) – 12 (17:45), 2021: Opposition Venus - Jupiter across the Sun

February 13

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

February 14

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 8 (00:15) - 14 (03:15), 2021 Triple Line Up Pluto – Mercury - Earth

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

 February 15

January 28 (09:15) – February 17 (10:15), 2022: Conjunction Pluto - Juno and the Sun

February 5 (02:15) – 26 (03:00), 2022: Conjunction Chiron - Pallas and the Sun

February 9 (18:45) – March 14 (14:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Mars – Venus - Earth

 

 

 

 

Edited by Patrick P.A. Geryl
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  • Patrick P.A. Geryl changed the title to Solar Frenzy February 15, 2022! X10-X20 Flare?

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