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New AR over the limb?


farm24

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26 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said:

But there are some new sunspots anyway

Magentogram imagery looks... interesting.

Screenshots_2022-01-24-15-15-56.png

Yes, it should be registered as an AR tomorrow. By then we should have a slightly better view, but it looks like it has potential for multiple spots.

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53 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said:

Looking at AIA 171, it's got lots of movement with its loops.

For a small area of mostly faculae, it's quite active. Hopefully it's growing at the moment.

But as previously mentioned loops don’t really mean anything if the region isn’t active 

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10 hours ago, Orneno said:

Looking at the visible light, it doesn’t have many spots, mostly faculae

O.K., but please help me to understand this.. the first image below is AR2935

The second is the new region on the limb. Certainly I can see that the leading 'spot' near the limb is not so well defined, but those for AR2935 do not seem particularly strong either - yet that has been registered.

         20220125_0800_AR2935.jpg.7b4b72219d6f04ac32b637cd1c394232.jpg   20220125_0800_new.jpg.c5e67a125be9448d9ec2fa944bb35aab.jpg

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7 hours ago, 3gMike said:

O.K., but please help me to understand this.. the first image below is AR2935

The second is the new region on the limb. Certainly I can see that the leading 'spot' near the limb is not so well defined, but those for AR2935 do not seem particularly strong either - yet that has been registered.

         20220125_0800_AR2935.jpg.7b4b72219d6f04ac32b637cd1c394232.jpg   20220125_0800_new.jpg.c5e67a125be9448d9ec2fa944bb35aab.jpg

Those are really blurry images, are you using the highest resolution ones available? Go to the SDO page on SWL, click the image icon below the sunspots picture, and choose the highest resolution one and wait for it to load 

The new AR should look like this, for example: 

873E7B9A-D536-49A0-9548-BE8E9E366719.jpeg

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1 hour ago, Orneno said:

Those are really blurry images, are you using the highest resolution ones available? Go to the SDO page on SWL, click the image icon below the sunspots picture, and choose the highest resolution one and wait for it to load 

The new AR should look like this, for example: 

873E7B9A-D536-49A0-9548-BE8E9E366719.jpeg

I took them from the SDO HMI Intensitygram at 4096 x 4096 then cropped to get images that would fit the 200kB limit

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18 minutes ago, Space pro said:

Activity seems picking up after the arrival of AR2936

GOES X-ray Flux (Dynamic Plot) _ NOAA _ NWS Space Weather Prediction Center and 2 more pages - Profile 2 - Microsoft Edge 26-01-2022 10_15_44.png

the one that has just rotated over this afternoon gave us an M1 (barely) flare a few hours ago. Surprising, given how it seems to be mostly faculae and not spots

18 minutes ago, Space pro said:

Did 2936 produced M1?

It wasn't 2936, it was the one that just rotated over a bit to the east of 2936 (not yet named)

Edited by Orneno
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6 uren geleden, Orneno zei:

the one that has just rotated over this afternoon gave us an M1 (barely) flare a few hours ago. Surprising, given how it seems to be mostly faculae and not spots

It wasn't 2936, it was the one that just rotated over a bit to the east of 2936 (not yet named)

2936 could become complex in the next 3 days… if it was born on January 21.

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3 hours ago, LunarLights58 said:

Hey, give the faculae regions a break 😅

That region has now been allocated a number (2938) on the latest synoptic map, and they show a number of spots, but have not assigned any numbers for probability of flares. We should expect more detail tomorrow. Is it fair to say that the brightness of the faculae dominate our observations near the limb, and spots only become more obvious as that area turns toward us?

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5 minutes ago, 3gMike said:

That region has now been allocated a number (2938) on the latest synoptic map, and they show a number of spots, but have not assigned any numbers for probability of flares. We should expect more detail tomorrow. Is it fair to say that the brightness of the faculae dominate our observations near the limb, and spots only become more obvious as that area turns toward us?

sounds accurate, but I have no proof.
However, when you look at the unprocessed version of the image here, you can see how much the disk fades at the edges.  It's just hard to see a region that is oriented almost 90 degrees away from you.

latest_512_HMIIC.jpg.55de264948e4f642ab77ee30eaca6192.jpg

Edited by Orneno
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28 minutes ago, Patrick Geryl said:

2936 is the only one that could become complex. See “coming sunspots”

Please explain your thinking. You said (in the other thread) that 2936 may become complex if it was 'born' on 21st January. Why does that not also apply to 2938 ?

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1. On stereo you can see that 2938 was born after January 23 and 2936 before

2. It is currently the only strong sunspot on GONG, so 2936 has to be the one! 
 

3. New hit for the sunspot theory… who wants to help?
 

GONG Farside Images


https://farside.nso.edu/calib_gallery.html

Edited by Patrick Geryl
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