Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Why is the BZ trending so steadily and strongly southward? It’s reached -9 after going more and more south for several hours, and shows no signs of stopping. The BT is also a bit strong at 12. What is causing these strong magnetic fields? I can’t find anything in the solar wind or density plots to indicate a CME or CIR. The hemispheric power has already passed 50 however, this is beginning to kick up some nice activity. My guess is at least KP4 in the coming hours, maybe even KP5 if the BZ continues to trend even more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Not strong, it’s moderate 😉. If it was in the twenties it would be strong. solar wind is steady but the IMF increased for several hours. Still looks like kind of CH effect already but that’s a bit early 🤔 or is it due to the southern extension of the CH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 28 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Not strong, it’s moderate 😉. If it was in the twenties it would be strong. solar wind is steady but the IMF increased for several hours. Still looks like kind of CH effect already but that’s a bit early 🤔 or is it due to the southern extension of the CH Maybe we’ll find out as it continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farm24 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 its so strong now that on the Swedish Porjus cam it is still light out and you can see the aurora Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, farm24 said: its so strong now that on the Swedish Porjus cam it is still light out and you can see the aurora Link please? Nvm, I found it. Very cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It looks like it's geomagnetic storming right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: It looks like it's geomagnetic storming right now. The KP index has not made it an official geomagnetic storm yet, but it resembles many KP5 (G1) storms I’ve seen, pretty significant! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Lets go to KP7 because why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Lets go to KP7 because why not Definitely not. So far we’ve got KP4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Orneno said: Definitely not. So far we’ve got KP4. Yeah I know lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 now the reason is discovered or not yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: now the reason is discovered or not yet? Not discovered as far as I know. I do wish the DSCOVR data would come back though 😭 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 (edited) 32 minutes ago, Orneno said: No descubierto que yo sepa. Sin embargo , desearía que los datos de DSCOVR volvieran 😭 DSCOVR is back, and it seems that it came back with a solar wind density Edited January 14, 2022 by Isatsuki San Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 35 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: DSCOVR is back, and it seems that it came back with a solar wind density But the end of our long-running southerly BZ! Oh well, it was good fun while it lasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 We did hit a G1 though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 tThe dst reached 100, what happens now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Watch and wait... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 hours ago, Orneno said: The KP index has not made it an official geomagnetic storm yet, but it resembles many KP5 (G1) storms I’ve seen, pretty significant! Because the KP index looks backwards in time by 3 hours, the graph you were looking at was indeed a G1 storm as it was occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Drax Spacex said: Because the KP index looks backwards in time by 3 hours, the graph you were looking at was indeed a G1 storm as it was occurring. Yup. And now it’s a G2 (KP6). Maybe we were actually seeing a G2 storm as it was happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farm24 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, Orneno said: Yup. And now it’s a G2 (KP6). Maybe we were actually seeing a G2 storm as it was happening. What is causing it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 KP7 next...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: KP7 next...? Don’t think so 4 minutes ago, farm24 said: What is causing it though One place said it was a crack in the magnetic field. I’ve never heard of that, I’m not sure if it’s true or not. Here’s what the crack means https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2003/03dec_magneticcracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Crap... well ok then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: ¿KP7 siguiente...? for me it was the density that happened when dscord recovered and entered although we remember that there was bz 17 so that's why the g3 geomathenic storm was created, but we know that the kp takes 3 hours later, so seeing everything recovered, it seems that it's just me and it will return to normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Isatsuki San said: for me it was the density that happened when dscord recovered and entered although we remember that there was bz 17 so that's why the g3 geomathenic storm was created, but we know that the kp takes 3 hours later, so seeing everything recovered, it seems that it's just me and it will return to normal Maybe it would go back to normal or go cray lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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