Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks like a decent C class solar flare happened. From my guess without going to check other websites, I would say it was from the unstable Region that is just over the limb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 44 minuten geleden, Solarflaretracker200 zei: Looks like a decent C class solar flare happened. From my guess without going to check other websites, I would say it was from the unstable Region that is just over the limb. Nope, wrong 😜 that’s why you need to check before posting! Region 2925 seems responsible for a long duration C-class solar flare with an impressive coronal dimming and a possible very nice CME (told you many times you sometimes don’t need a huge solar flare for a nice CME 😜) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Region 2925 didn't want to be remembered for being an unimpressive region, so it decided to put off some fireworks for us! Looks like quite a nice CME so far. Still gotta wait for LASCO imagery though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I’ve merged previous posts all in a new topic to make the discussion not scattered around ☺️. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: I’ve merged previous posts all in a new topic to make the discussion not scattered around ☺️. 😂 I was confused for a moment. I was like “When did I make this” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: a possible very nice CME (told you many times you sometimes don’t need a huge solar flare for a nice CME 😜) Isn’t it a bit far on the limb to be Earth-directed? Also, a long-duration flare from an alpha-class spot? Is that unusual? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 17 minuten geleden, Orneno zei: Isn’t it a bit far on the limb to be Earth-directed? Also, a long-duration flare from an alpha-class spot? Is that unusual? It’s the filament that erupted, the filament was connected with 2925 😉 and no, this one isn’t too far on the limb, due to the Parker spiral effect CME’s launched at that location can still arrive (especially with wide CME’s). (For example the X28 on the western limb was a wide CME and the Earth even got a glancing blow of it 😉 if it was on the eastern limb this wouldn’t be the case due to that effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: It’s the filament that erupted, the filament was connected with 2925 😉 and no, this one isn’t too far on the limb, due to the Parker spiral effect CME’s launched at that location can still arrive (especially with wide CME’s). (For example the X28 on the western limb was a wide CME and the Earth even got a glancing blow of it 😉 if it was on the eastern limb this wouldn’t be the case due to that effect. Oh, I didn’t know the CME was from a filament and not the flare directly. Ah thank you, I forgot about the Parker spiral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 26 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: ...due to the Parker spiral effect... The what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: The what? You know how the sun spins about every twenty-something days? (Like how the sunspots rotate across the disk.) Because the sun is spinning, anything launched from it (solar wind, CME, HSS, etc.) curves into a spiral path as it moves out from the sun. This can be clearly seen in the way the CH HSS and CME curve in the below image of the solar wind (old photo, not current) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Orneno said: You know how the sun spins about every twenty-something days? (Like how the sunspots rotate across the disk.) Because the sun is spinning, anything launched from it (solar wind, CME, HSS, etc.) curves into a spiral path as it moves out from the sun. This can be clearly seen in the way the CH HSS and CME curve in the below image of the solar wind (old photo, not current) So like the Coriolis effect on the solar wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 32 minuten geleden, LunarLights58 zei: The what? Think of the Parker spiral as a rotating garden hose that sprinkles water around. Particles along the line are accelerated along the flow of the IMF. I tried to find a good visualisation of what happens: If the Earth was to the left, due to the Parker spiral it’s less likely that particles arrive at Earth. If the Earth was to the right, the Earth has a higher chance that particles can arrive. Update on CME seems the CME won’t be Earth directed based on one frame of LASCO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 (edited) Going off to the west, too bad. Edited January 14, 2022 by Orneno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Now data of LASCO is complete, it Seems like an asymmetrical full halo CME so we can expect a glancing blow ENLIL run: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Now data of LASCO is complete, it Seems like an asymmetrical full halo CME so we can expect a glancing blow ENLIL run: Still not of major interest I guess. I can hardly see any halo at all on LASCO. Edited January 14, 2022 by Orneno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minuten geleden, Orneno zei: Still not of major interest I guess. I can hardly see any halo at all on LASCO. Very weak part indeed. It was rather fast (1200km/sec), possible impact January 17-18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 My computer is dumb and won't let me see the tweet 😂 So I have no idea if it was bad CME or good CME or whatever is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: My computer is dumb and won't let me see the tweet 😂 So I have no idea if it was bad CME or good CME or whatever is happening. Bad CME, almost entirely directed away from Earth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 38 minutes ago, Orneno said: Bad CME, almost entirely directed away from Earth Ah ok. I had to restart my computer. Seems like it's working and I can see the tweet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 My preliminary calculations have the CME arriving as early as 2022/01/16 21:43Z at L1. The other end of the scale is an arrival at L1 at around 2022/01/17 18:38Z. I'd go with the latter as well, maybe a late arrival on the 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Solar protons are rising. Anyone know what that's about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Solar protons are rising. Anyone know what that's about? Search me… a CIR from an incoming HSS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 I thought powerful-ish solar flares only did that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: I thought powerful-ish solar flares only did that I thought it usually preceded a CME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 33 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: I thought powerful-ish solar flares only did that It isn't very significant, but the Sun knows how to surprise us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now