Drax Spacex Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 How often do C-Class or higher flares originate from plage-only areas on the visible solar disk with no AR (no sunspots)? Qualitatively, the answer is not often, but what is the quantitative answer, historically speaking? For all C-class or higher flares, what percent occurred in plage-only areas on the solar disk (i.e. not including flares along the limb or slightly behind the limb where existence or nonexistence of sunspots cannot be determined)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Who says it was spotless when the C-flare occurred? It was still behind the limb and could still have spots on the moment of the flare before vanishing and turning into view as a spotless plage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted June 25, 2021 Author Share Posted June 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Who says it was spotless when the C-flare occurred? It was still behind the limb and could still have spots on the moment of the flare before vanishing and turning into view as a spotless plage. Exactly, we don't know. That's why I was excluding limb flares from consideration (though I may not have worded it clearly). But now that those areas are visible on the solar disk, it will be an interesting test case to see if any C-flares occur from those plages (though sunspot formation could be imminent). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
helios Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Speaking from 2 solar cycles of hobbyist observation, I can't remember seeing a flare on the visible hemisphere without associated sunspot. But as solar activity increases, small flares become less interesting and attention is drawn to the bigger spots. So my experience is certainly not a quantitative measure In the end, the question whether there is or was a spot associated to a flare, is also limited to the spatial and temporal resolution of the available imagery. tldr; I'm not aware of a source which keeps track of that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 4 uren geleden, Drax Spacex zei: But now that those areas are visible on the solar disk, it will be an interesting test case to see if any C-flares occur from those plages Normally they don’t flare, unless there’s a filament attached to it 🤷♂️ Plages are also called a graveyard of a sunspot region so there isn’t any “life” in terms of solar flares (but who knows that a plage can cause a zombie flare 😝). Something to keep an eye on but normally it’s pretty dead ☺️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted June 28, 2021 Author Share Posted June 28, 2021 (edited) Thanks for your replies - they are appreciated. I read a few articles which indicate the same - that a "bright spotless faculae field" may look impressive in some wavelengths in brightness and area, and may contain a few pores, but without sunspots, it's unlikely to produce significant (C or higher) flares. Edited July 2, 2021 by Drax Spacex significant (C or higher) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 For this test case, the strongest flare from this large spotless plage area during its traversal from east to west across the solar disk was B7.1 on 2021-06-29 05:39 UTC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted July 28, 2021 Author Share Posted July 28, 2021 AR2849, recently downgraded to a spotless plage area, produced a B9.8 flare on 2021-Jul-27 22:26 UT. Round it to the nearest whole number and call it a C1. Nothing impressive, but worth noting in the scope of this topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 (edited) 3 hours ago, Drax Spacex said: AR2849, recently downgraded to a spotless plage area, produced a B9.8 flare on 2021-Jul-27 22:26 UT. Round it to the nearest whole number and call it a C1. Nothing impressive, but worth noting in the scope of this topic. I wondered where this flare originated too! I also saw it was 2849. The solar disc is more or less spotless now. There were a lot of sigmoids detected around the Active Region so obviously there's a lot going on under the surface magnetically, it's just not producing spots. The two B5 flares were from AR2846, but something is flaring again just now! Edited July 28, 2021 by Newbie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 Groan!! No sunspots, no flares, nothing around the corner, the Sun looks like a yellow pool ball or this smiley face . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archmonoth Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 (edited) On 7/30/2021 at 6:52 AM, Newbie said: Groan!! No sunspots, no flares, nothing around the corner, the Sun looks like a yellow pool ball or this smiley face . Beneath the calm surface, Explosions blossom with fire, Tied in electron knots, And flung into the terrible night, To decorate the sky. Edited July 31, 2021 by Archmonoth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted July 30, 2021 Author Share Posted July 30, 2021 On 7/28/2021 at 2:12 AM, Newbie said: There were a lot of sigmoids detected around the Active Region Ah, now I know the official name for those - sigmoid (not the anatomical kind). I might have previously called them a squiggle, a snake, a serpent, a dragon, or like Malcolm McDowell, "the nexus." Perhaps that's a reason why so many are excited about an increasingly active Sun - the nexus is almost in reach. (Just remember it isn't real.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 I think i remember a B-Class enhancement from an area of Plage. I'm not sure tho, I think it makes more sense that it briefly reemerged, flared and died down again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Drax Spacex said: sigmoid (not the anatomical kind). It conjures up pictures of an 'S' bend in my mind! The plumbing kind! It's funny because the name given to the means of detection is 'Sigmoid Sniffer' and every time I read it, I smile! 😜 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Oh I appreciate a good haiku! 😃 7 hours ago, Archmonoth said: Beneath of the calm surface, Explosions blossom with fire, Tied in electron knots, And flung into the terrible night, To decorate the sky. Archmonoth you have thrown down the challenge! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Image courtesy of SDO/AIA! It is called the Sigmoid Sniffer module - I kid you not! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 (edited) On 7/31/2021 at 3:11 AM, Archmonoth said: Beneath the calm surface, Explosions blossom with fire, Tied in electron knots, And flung into the terrible night, To decorate the sky. Writhe! wrestling serpents, Twisted tangled coils, Seething furnace: Sun. Tempered for a season, List' the cry! "how long"? Edited August 1, 2021 by Newbie Really bad punctuation! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archmonoth Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 (edited) 21 hours ago, Newbie said: Writhe! wrestling serpents, Twisted tangled coils, Seething furnace: Sun. Tempered for a season, List' the cry! "how long"? Night and day are spotless, When waiting for the blaze, Forged by rotten hands, Dawn can not erase. Edited August 1, 2021 by Archmonoth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted August 1, 2021 Author Share Posted August 1, 2021 (edited) Sleeping sun sans spots Failing faculae field flares Henceforth hath haiku Edited August 2, 2021 by Drax Spacex 5/7/5 haiku + tongue twister 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 (edited) What is this arisen? What has our Sun brought forth? Deep in the Southern regions, A long dead plage gives birth! Hail! Phoenix, zombie sunspots, Rise up to greet your day, May you grow and prosper. You better not decay! Courtesy SDO/HMI latest! Edited August 1, 2021 by Newbie Can't spell! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted August 2, 2021 Author Share Posted August 2, 2021 Haha - Yeah that's right on the cusp of becoming an AR - not quite as far south as AR2844 from a few weeks ago - but pretty far down there. It's got some sizzle, let's see if it has any pop! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Why do organizations such as SILSO continue to use a network of contributing stations when SOHO exists? Surely one perfect image unaffected by weather is all that is needed? We use STEREO-A to see what is coming. That is only one image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
helios Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 @dave Spacecrafts can and will be unavailable at times, or they may fail entirely. For example during radiation storms, technical issues or old age. Furthermore, ground based observatories may be easily modified for example to host new instruments, which can't be done easily on spacecraft. That's why it is important to maintain independent observatories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 (edited) Last week EPAM from SWPC ACE was offline for around 48 hours, there were a few posts about it. Good to have more than one source of data. 😃 Edited August 2, 2021 by Newbie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 There seems to be sufficient redundancy (i.e. alternative, active, instrument feeds) and sufficient upgrading (new launches) in the system of space-based instrumentation that one can rely on there (almost always) being an acceptable image of the sun's disc. I really cannot remember a single occasion in the last ten years when one could not obtain detailed information (magnetograms, UV etc.) from some live feed or other (SDO, SOHO, STEREO-A...). Almost all of the instruments for monitoring the Earth and the Sun have exceeded expectation. If the gentlemen of SILSO want to do things the old way, well, in a sense that is their mission, accepted by them in 1981 - to perpetuate a particular, long-lived, project of astronomers, and extend the resulting historic series into the present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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