5 minutes ago, Samrau said:

I see a huge delta here

It is hard to tell at this point with is so close to the limb, but it might be this, the red line splitting a possible shear line. I could be right, I could be wrong.

53 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said:

It is hard to tell at this point with is so close to the limb, but it might be this, the red line splitting a possible shear line. I could be right, I could be wrong.

I agree, we need to take this distance into account. Here is a 4 hour timelapse.

Looks like the M 4.5 flare from before on the limb was a filament burning type event , meaning its less likely this will be a regular M flare firing area.

Spot areas that are burning filaments to produce large flares on the limb often aren't as magnetically complex as we hope and they tend to calm after the filament around it is used. Only a tendency though this area might buck the trend .

More difficult to tell wether the recent doubled headed M was a filament burn . Can't seem to see its effects well in the different SDO wavelengths , except pehaps 94A and 1700A.

Here is some footage of the larger earlier M 4.5 flare .

1 hour ago, Jesterface23 said:

It is hard to tell at this point with is so close to the limb.

1 hour ago, Samrau said:

I see a huge delta here

I don't have access to my computer right now, but after heavily editing a quick look intensitygram image you can see slight separation near the center. Personally I feel as though the magnetogram is still too distorted by the limb for accurate classification.

Edited August 25Aug 25 by Parabolic
Missing text

2 hours ago, Samrau said:

I see a huge delta here

Unfortunately I think that spot is entirely red / negative but that there's a fairly strong blue / positive flux rope connecting to it and currently messing up both vector and regular magnetograms.

Edit:

11Z

14Z

Edit2: Judging by AIA 304 I think it's being trailed by a fairly strong blue / positive spot. There's a sizeable flux rope extending just past the cusp.

Edited August 25Aug 25 by Rudolph
Messed up out and in 😂

7 minutes ago, Parabolic said:

I don't have access to my computer right now, but after heavily editing a quick look intensitygram image you can see slight separation near the center. Personally I feel as though the magnetogram is still too distorted by the limb for accurate classification.

yes, I have already seen this in other pictures

The old 4168 wanted to send us the CME, but the 4196 intercepted it.

The flow of plasma from one group to another was interesting.

Edited August 25Aug 25 by Samrau

On 8/24/2025 at 9:10 AM, Samrau said:

This is what everyone is experiencing. No images are being received in the morning. It may have something to do with the introduction of the new AI, but I don't know for sure.

New AI Model based on SDO Data

The new foundation model using SDO data has been released!  The  Surya Heliophysics Foundation Model  was trained on nine years of SDO data,...

Just discovered this, gonna give it a try :)

Edit: removed snarky AI comment. 😊

Edited August 26Aug 26 by hamateur 1953
See above

Solar flare with CME - M1.0-moderate.

Another active area is turning towards us, and if this continues, a second peak is possible.

I kept thinking that if you look at the peaks of solar activity from previous cycles, the flares from the northern hemisphere form one peak, and the flares from the southern hemisphere form a second peak. Usually, the northern hemisphere forms the first peak, but in this cycle, it doesn't seem to have accumulated enough flares. I'm hoping that the northern hemisphere will make up for lost time.

Although, of course, the current activity is not comparable to last year's, but as a long-standing rule for me, I will hope for the best.

These are probably the old groups 4169 and 4172.

1 hour ago, Samrau said:

I kept thinking that if you look at the peaks of solar activity from previous cycles, the flares from the northern hemisphere form one peak, and the flares from the southern hemisphere form a second peak. Usually, the northern hemisphere forms the first peak, but in this cycle, it doesn't seem to have accumulated enough flares. I'm hoping that the northern hemisphere will make up for lost time.

Although, of course, the current activity is not comparable to last year's, but as a long-standing rule for me, I will hope for the best.

These are probably the old groups 4169 and 4172.

That is an intriguing thought, shouldn't be too hard to find empirical evidence for it if someone is willing to sift through old data.

(Unless this is a translation issue or me misunderstanding, that's always a possibility)

I think the number cut off near the edge is 14173 but I'm not sure 😂

Very curious about the region currently tagged P100 on GONG. When comparing location to Raben it looks like the decayed remnants of 14176, or somewhere around that area, has grown into something roughly equivalent to 14191. Surprisingly far north for this stage of the SC but definitely not unheard of.

23 minutes ago, Rudolph said:

That is an intriguing thought, shouldn't be too hard to find empirical evidence for it if someone is willing to sift through old data.

(Unless this is a translation issue or me misunderstanding, that's always a possibility)

I think the number cut off near the edge is 14173 but I'm not sure 😂

Very curious about the region currently tagged P100 on GONG. When comparing location to Raben it looks like the decayed remnants of 14176, or somewhere around that area, has grown into something roughly equivalent to 14191. Surprisingly far north for this stage of the SC but definitely not unheard of.

I think dear @Philalethes would have handled this better than anyone ever has. He likes to write a lot of clever words, and we like to read.

Isn't this region on the other side located much higher than normal? I'm new here and don't understand much.😅

12 hours ago, Samrau said:

Another active area is turning towards us, and if this continues, a second peak is possible.

I kept thinking that if you look at the peaks of solar activity from previous cycles, the flares from the northern hemisphere form one peak, and the flares from the southern hemisphere form a second peak. Usually, the northern hemisphere forms the first peak, but in this cycle, it doesn't seem to have accumulated enough flares. I'm hoping that the northern hemisphere will make up for lost time.

Although, of course, the current activity is not comparable to last year's, but as a long-standing rule for me, I will hope for the best.

These are probably the old groups 4169 and 4172.

We actually exceeded last years F10.7 solar flux this date last year by 15 points today. I think we are at 232 today. I don’t expect this to continue again through the winter, but it would certainly please a lot of Radio Amateurs. On the NH activity. Supposedly it peaked in june/july 2023. It was a particularly low peak imo and nothing precludes both hemispheres conspiring to provide us with an extended peak or higher activity imho. I should add here that there is no way I expected this to happen, in fact I would have bet hard cash against it! 🤣🤣🤣

Edited August 28Aug 28 by hamateur 1953

51 minutes ago, uzuix said:

Isn't this region on the other side located much higher than normal? I'm new here and don't understand much.😅

Welcome back PHI-FTD 🥰

Its latitude isn't too out of the ordinary given where we are in this SC, but the size is interesting:

Pure guesswork places it around 25-30°N

10 hours ago, Samrau said:

I think dear @Philalethes would have handled this better than anyone ever has. He likes to write a lot of clever words, and we like to read.

I don't think I have too much to add here besides what I wrote here recently, but I certainly also hope for some surges in activity.

I would also note that I have prophesied an unprecedented amount of activity with the planetary alignment in early January of 2026, probably X100+; but alas, the historical track record of prophets has been less than stellar...

47 minutes ago, uzuix said:

Isn't this region on the other side located much higher than normal? I'm new here and don't understand much.😅

It is pretty far north, at least for this far into the cycle.

That being said one must also note that the Sun's northern hemisphere is tilted quite a bit away from us here. SolO is currently at a heliographic latitude of 13.5°, which makes things seem to be at higher latitudes than they really are.

In the image you posted the solar equator would be the line of latitude below the one running along where you've marked. You can see that it's tilted quite far north and that it can give the impression of being further north than it really is due to that.

But with that also being said, each line of latitude in the PHI imagery is 20°, so even with the "illusion" of being more north than it is, that is still pretty far north for this point in the cycle indeed! That would put the biggest spots at nearly 30°, which is certainly a bit of an outlier, but not unheard of.

34 minutes ago, Philalethes said:

I don't think I have too much to add here besides what I wrote here recently, but I certainly also hope for some surges in activity.

I would also note that I have prophesied an unprecedented amount of activity with the planetary alignment in early January of 2026, probably X100+; but alas, the historical track record of prophets has been less than stellar...

It is pretty far north, at least for this far into the cycle.

That being said one must also note that the Sun's northern hemisphere is tilted quite a bit away from us here. SolO is currently at a heliographic latitude of 13.5°, which makes things seem to be at higher latitudes than they really are.

In the image you posted the solar equator would be the line of latitude below the one running along where you've marked. You can see that it's tilted quite far north and that it can give the impression of being further north than it really is due to that.

But with that also being said, each line of latitude in the PHI imagery is 20°, so even with the "illusion" of being more north than it is, that is still pretty far north for this point in the cycle indeed! That would put the biggest spots at nearly 30°, which is certainly a bit of an outlier, but not unheard of.

I forgot all about UPT! 🙄 And the exchanges. Fortunately saner minds have since prevailed….

13 hours ago, Philalethes said:

I would also note that I have prophesied an unprecedented amount of activity with the planetary alignment in early January of 2026, probably X100+; but alas, the historical track record of prophets has been less than stellar...

Google Translate servers have crashed 😄

Okay, I'll read about it myself. I'm not a fan of pseudoscience, of course. I just wanted to hear something interesting about why the Northern Hemisphere becomes the most active, or rather, the first hemisphere in terms of the number of sunspots, and then the second hemisphere, making the cycle two-headed. However, not all cycles have two peaks. This could be a topic for another discussion.

1 hour ago, Samrau said:

Google Translate servers have crashed 😄

Okay, I'll read about it myself. I'm not a fan of pseudoscience, of course. I just wanted to hear something interesting about why the Northern Hemisphere becomes the most active, or rather, the first hemisphere in terms of the number of sunspots, and then the second hemisphere, making the cycle two-headed. However, not all cycles have two peaks. This could be a topic for another discussion.

Philalethes was having a bit of fun at the time in unproven theory thread I think. An X -100 flare would be pretty cool, but it might scare a few of us. 😊🙄. BTW. Congratulations on the beautiful comet catch in the Comet Lemmon thread. I linked it to several people @Samrau got a few ooooo exclamations. 😊

Edited August 29Aug 29 by hamateur 1953
Comet Lemmon

Two events early in the day UTC, almost consecutive, behind the eastern limb, first a flare and then a prominence eruption; the flare is shown with a white arrow and the prominence with an orange-red arrow. AIA 131 angstroms SDO:

3 hours ago, Jhon Henry Osorio Orozco said:

Two events early in the day UTC, almost consecutive, behind the eastern limb, first a flare and then a prominence eruption; the flare is shown with a white arrow and the prominence with an orange-red arrow. AIA 131 angstroms SDO:

A good surprise! I wasn’t expecting anything from the SH at all tbh.

4 hours ago, Jhon Henry Osorio Orozco said:

The date stamp is about 10 days ago .

33 minutes ago, Alphane said:

The date stamp is about 10 days ago .

You're apparently much more observant than me 😂

38 minutes ago, Rudolph said:

You're apparently much more observant than me 😂

It was the fact 4197 wasn't in the middle of the sun made me look .

Glad someone caught that! I didn’t even check! Funny cuz been expecting solar orbiter to post something recent also.

Edited August 30Aug 30 by hamateur 1953
Forgot was supposed to speeka engwish