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1 hour ago, SamDieGurke said:

After looking at what was on the sun weeks ago and with the help of farside imagery (JSOC farside monitor) it could to be old 3998, which used to be a B-G-D region before. It could also be the small region which was ahead, 3996. So I dont think its something new, still excited whats left or whats it gonna do.

The spot that's been flareing is probably trailing behind The One that's just Turned into view which it is interesting and seems quite unstable.

Edited by Peogauuia

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2 hours ago, SamDieGurke said:

After looking at what was on the sun weeks ago and with the help of farside imagery (JSOC farside monitor) it could to be old 3998, which used to be a B-G-D region before. It could also be the small region which was ahead, 3996. So I dont think its something new, still excited whats left or whats it gonna do.

Could be. Sure acting irritable. 3998 had over 50 C flares only 4 M flares. No big ones.

Latitudes nearly correspond btw ..

Looking all along the eastern limb as of this Saturday 15 it is pretty active with coronal loops in NH and of course we also have the SH activity moving into view now as well. The F10.7 was 186 last 23:00 showing a steady climb towards 200 as expected. We may have passed Solar Maximum, but the sun hasn’t decided to give up quite yet. 😊

On 3/15/2025 at 10:49 AM, hamateur 1953 said:

Looking all along the eastern limb as of this Saturday 15 it is pretty active with coronal loops in NH and of course we also have the SH activity moving into view now as well. The F10.7 was 186 last 23:00 showing a steady climb towards 200 as expected. We may have passed Solar Maximum, but the sun hasn’t decided to give up quite yet. 😊

From what I have seen from SWPC and NASA, I wouldn't say solar maximum has fully passed. I think you are treating it more like a singular day rather than a period. In my opinion, the period lasts from 2024 through 2025.

I was referring to a recent posting by Jan Alvestad and also Tamitha Skov. Tbh I expect more action in solar activity ( cmes etc) To resume before May. The running averages are also posted on Jan’s site as far as 10.7 solar flux and SS numbers. The large surge we received in solar flux over last winter was great. We remain at high levels ( above 170 currently) and aside from brief plunges probably will for the next year at least imho.

Well more or less it looks like we may have another batch of spots looking at jsoc imagery

17424514052384521489873732794950.png

Also have some coronal limbs approaching from the east limb so will be interesting to see what is approaching Screenshot_2025-03-20-19-19-27-117_com.brave.browser-edit.jpg

5 hours ago, Alphane said:

5 regions incoming . 2 North 3 South , last in south looks like its North South aligned as well .

An anti hale group would be welcomed on our side for sure. Haven’t seen in awhile.

There's a very interesting P100 region on GONG Far side mapping that looks like it will have at least some M1+ activity.
image.png

Edited by mapguy
added image

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21 minutes ago, mapguy said:

There's a very interesting P100 region on GONG Far side mapping that looks like it will have at least some M1+ activity.
image.png

Im sorry but we cant even see this region properly besides very unreliable farside measurements, how can you determine that it „likely has m1+“ potential?

@MinYoongi is likely correct here. The p100 denotes high probability of density characteristic of a good active region. If so it may continue to evolve during its way. One to keep an eye on imo.

9 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

@MinYoongi is likely correct here. The p100 denotes high probability of density characteristic of a good active region. If so it may continue to evolve during its way. One to keep an eye on imo.

I never really understood that, what does P72 or P76... mean? In this case P100.

5 minutes ago, niksi said:

I never really understood that, what does P72 or P76... mean? In this case P100.

Anything below P100 isn’t really worth consideration. Basically as I understand it the P is simply probability. Important to remember also that inactive plage regions show up as P 75 etc. Successive days observations may indicate a decent region. A P 75 may also evolve into a P100. But whether anything has any complexity without having a real magnetic observation would be a dice roll.

Edited by hamateur 1953
Evolution

I think the P100 just means it has a 100% chance that it won't dissipate when it reaches the Earth-facing disk. It doesn't say anything about complexity, intensity, etc.

39 minutes ago, mapguy said:

I think the P100 just means it has a 100% chance that it won't dissipate when it reaches the Earth-facing disk. It doesn't say anything about complexity, intensity, etc.

In any event errors are frequently displayed as Min noted accurately. Eyeball for consistency in display while it is in transit. Someone even made a hilarious meme out of this stuff awhile back. Y’all should check out the memes section. 😳 Incidentally I rarely look at it anymore, preferring instead to monitor for slowly increasing C level and absolutely the east limb on the 131a views updated regularly here.

Edited by hamateur 1953
Bad grammah

Looks like there is quite an active spot around the limb to the north . SDO is showing some action that will hopefully last and be coming soon .

There is a new region slowly rolling in, if i had to guess it would be that region for the far side image

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