9 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Have you looked at GONG or JSOC Farside imagery for that? I do think i saw some SolO pictures on twitter with the caption that this is a recurring region. if youre interested, i could dig it out for you

I already took a look at the coordinates. Nothing was near where this region is.

3682 looks somewhat promising. Currently only has b-g configuration at the moment. My hopes are high though!

4 minutes ago, Carrington45X said:

3682 looks somewhat promising. Currently only has b-g configuration at the moment. My hopes are high though!

I think It's better to drop your expectations/hopes for that region atleast, it looks rather ass 😅

2 minutes ago, mozy said:

I think It's better to drop your expectations/hopes for that region at least, it looks rather ass 😅

Gotcha. 

So, basically, right now everything is just speculations haha

19 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said:

I already took a look at the coordinates. Nothing was near where this region is.

nice observation in that case! Very cool to know its a new region. when did it form? i thought, its shrinking because it looked less big on JSOC and less intense on Gong in the last few days.

21 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said:

I already took a look at the coordinates. Nothing was near where this region is.

Any speculation on the region's polarity? (Since it's not named yet I'm assuming they haven't assigned a configuration (polarity) to it yet)

3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

i thought, its shrinking because it looked less big on JSOC and less intense on Gong in the last few days.

Maybe it is old region 3654 in those. 3654 position is northeast of this new region.

2 minutes ago, Carrington45X said:

Any speculation on the region's polarity? (Since it's not named yet I'm assuming they haven't assigned a configuration (polarity) to it yet)

Only part of it is over the eastern limb so far, so not no idea. We'll still need to wait a several more days before we get a good look at it.

2 hours ago, Jesterface23 said:

Maybe it is old region 3654 in those. 3654 position is northeast of this new region.

 

Thats possible. Now i know where i missed it. thankies

Edited May 15, 20241 yr by MinYoongi
I mixed up 2 regions. edited it

How many X flares am i going to miss. XDD

1 hour ago, Carrington45X said:

3682 looks somewhat promising. Currently only has b-g configuration at the moment. My hopes are high though!

Dont say that! Now it'll just disintegrate xd 

From flare data alone the next region covers at least five degrees of latitude.  Last flare was a high C class. 
May will very likely be impressive for the next two weeks and well into June when our record X monster returns late May early June.  

Is it still too foreshortened to interpret/compare intensigram with magnetogram for the incoming region?

5 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

Is it still too foreshortened to interpret/compare intensigram with magnetogram for the incoming region?

Still hard to tell. Kind of looks like the spot closest to the limb is a delta but it's still a bit too early to be sure for any of them. The images are both perfectly sized and aligned so if you save them and use the arrow keys to cycle between you can compare them better.

Edited May 16, 20241 yr by cgrant26

30 minutes ago, cgrant26 said:

Still hard to tell. Kind of looks like the spot closest to the limb is a delta but it's still a bit too early to be sure for any of them. The images are both perfectly sized and aligned so if you save them and use the arrow keys to cycle between you can compare them better.

This looks promising? Add the fact that it just popped off an x4(?) and it would be a real shame if we are left disappointed by the time it traversed the disk. The area on the top and  bottom of the region, all the way on the limb, looks to me as though this sunspot has more deltas(?) behind the limb… could be huge! I wonder how I will spend my free time during the long solar minimum….. 

Edited May 16, 20241 yr by WhereingtonEvent

7 minutes ago, WhereingtonEvent said:

I wonder how I will spend my free time during the long solar minimum….. 

Well, how? Finally, there will be enough time to test Patrick's unverified theories of alignment. How much of this will be AR?

Edited May 16, 20241 yr by Wolf star

44 minutes ago, Wolf star said:

Well, how? Finally, there will be enough time to test Patrick's unverified theories of alignment. How much of this will be AR?

I’m afraid I am not familiar with Patrick’s musings. Where might I educate myself?

5 minutes ago, WhereingtonEvent said:

I’m afraid I am not familiar with Patrick’s musings. Where might I educate myself?

You're better off not reading his shenanigans

43 minutes ago, WhereingtonEvent said:

I’m afraid I am not familiar with Patrick’s musings. Where might I educate myself?

Abandon all hope, ye who enter here!

46 minutes ago, WhereingtonEvent said:

I’m afraid I am not familiar with Patrick’s musings. Where might I educate myself?

I'm not sure "educate" is the word I'd use. lol

15 minutes ago, cgrant26 said:

I'm not sure "educate" is the word I'd use. lol

This is true though!! with AI scraping forums for search results, it can result in bad information being displayed at the top of a search when connecting these comments.

3 hours ago, cgrant26 said:

Still hard to tell. Kind of looks like the spot closest to the limb is a delta but it's still a bit too early to be sure for any of them. The images are both perfectly sized and aligned so if you save them and use the arrow keys to cycle between you can compare them better.

I projected it on a sphere and rotated it to show roughly how it might look like. Here's a link to image slider with both https://imgsli.com/MjY0NDcx

2 hours ago, WhereingtonEvent said:

I’m afraid I am not familiar with Patrick’s musings. Where might I educate myself?

Happy man.

It was supposed to be just a joke. That at the time of solar minimum, we will either find more valuable entertainment in other areas. Or we'll be so bored here that we'll explore what is a waste of time.

3 hours ago, Ronja said:

I projected it on a sphere and rotated it to show roughly how it might look like. Here's a link to image slider with both https://imgsli.com/MjY0NDcx

Thank you. Looks good to me and the delta is pretty good to see. 👍 

Edit: if this is a delta 🙈 still learning. 

Edited May 16, 20241 yr by Ingolf

3 hours ago, Ronja said:

I projected it on a sphere and rotated it to show roughly how it might look like. Here's a link to image slider with both https://imgsli.com/MjY0NDcx

Nice projection! @mozy @Philalethes Tagging you since you guys taught me how to spot deltas, my mentors  

 

To me it looks like (i know, its severely foreshortened) there is unlikely to be a delta. flare activity supports this, but as @arjemma earlier mentioned of course it could just be quiet. For the left spot to be a delta they would literally have to be stacked on top of each other if im not mistaken. Is this a case of "phantom" penumbra or just a positive field closeby? 

36 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Nice projection! @mozy @Philalethes Tagging you since you guys taught me how to spot deltas, my mentors  

 

To me it looks like (i know, its severely foreshortened) there is unlikely to be a delta. flare activity supports this, but as @arjemma earlier mentioned of course it could just be quiet. For the left spot to be a delta they would literally have to be stacked on top of each other if im not mistaken. Is this a case of "phantom" penumbra or just a positive field closeby? 

When it's that early it's really hard to say, as even the umbrae bleed over across the boundaries between the polarities in the m-grams. At a certain point you start to see this only happen with the penumbrae, with the umbrae remaining within their respective polarities, even if somewhat misplaced. I would tend to agree, there's nothing I can immediately identify as a delta at this point personally at least.

2 minutes ago, Philalethes said:

When it's that early it's really hard to say, as even the umbrae bleed over across the boundaries between the polarities in the m-grams. At a certain point you start to see this only happen with the penumbrae, with the umbrae remaining within their respective polarities, even if somewhat misplaced. I would tend to agree, there's nothing I can immediately identify as a delta at this point personally at least.

Have my thanks! Sometimes its nice to verify what I'm seeing.

When do you think would it be safe to say what we're saying is not too foreshortened but rather true?