Misaka Posted Friday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:45 PM I think another factor why this storm even hit the G4 mark was the time before the storm. The Bz value was negative for quite a long time before the actual storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted Friday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:27 PM We still look to be in the CIR/HSS transition, the best area of a CH for the possibility of geomagnetic activity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chronical Posted Friday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:02 PM 34 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: We still look to be in the CIR/HSS transition, the best area of a CH for the possibility of geomagnetic activity. It will probably not last until darkness in North America, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted Friday at 06:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:13 PM 10 minutes ago, chronical said: It will probably not last until darkness in North America, right? We won't know. It could fully flip to all HSS in a minute or in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceR Posted Friday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:18 PM So does anyone know if it was a filament or a CME or a combination of both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted Friday at 06:36 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:36 PM 8 minutes ago, SpaceR said: So does anyone know if it was a filament or a CME or a combination of both? Once filaments are released from the Sun, they are CMEs. Not two different things that can impact us. A CME probably didn't have anything to do with this though. The low velocity shock arrival may have just been the arrival of a dense SIR/CIR when we were already in a CIR resulting in a strong IMF shock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cokelley Posted Friday at 06:39 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 06:39 PM (edited) Dr. Tamitha Skov is discussing it right now, live on her youtube page. She is awesome so I definitely recommend watching ! Edited Friday at 06:40 PM by Cokelley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunlive123 Posted Friday at 06:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:43 PM 5 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: Once filaments are released from the Sun, they are CMEs. Not two different things that can impact us. A CME probably didn't have anything to do with this though. The low velocity shock arrival may have just been the arrival of a dense SIR/CIR when we were already in a CIR resulting in a strong IMF shock. 3719 eruption is coming soon and it s HUGE ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted Friday at 07:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:30 PM 48 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: Una vez que los filamentos se liberan del Sol, se convierten en eyecciones de masa coronal (CME) . No son dos cosas diferentes que pueden impactarnos. Sin embargo, una CME probablemente no tuvo nada que ver con esto. La llegada del shock de baja velocidad puede haber sido simplemente la llegada de un SIR / CIR denso cuando ya estábamos en un CIR que resultó en un fuerte shock del FMI . Halo cme, he put this video on his twitter, so not only is a cme coming?, or it seems like one already came 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted Friday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:48 PM 1 hour ago, Sunlive123 said: 3719 eruption is coming soon and it s HUGE ! ? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRoom Posted Friday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:12 PM 18 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ? I agree. Why even speculate without anything to back up a statement. It's like everything has to be hyped to the point of insanity. When the prediction is wrong everyone is laughing and when it's right (kek) we all have to have our nose rubbed in it. Wildly off topic but as a silent spectator I can see how this continues to get people's backs up.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted Friday at 08:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:18 PM 34 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: Halo cme, he put this video on his twitter, so not only is a cme coming?, or it seems like one already came Currently the solar wind velocities are way to high for any other CME arrival today at this point. The problem with this being a CME is the velocities with the shock arrival. The velocity jump from ~360km/s to ~500km/s isn't something CMEs can do. Add on the low temperatures with the SIR shock arrival and is a clear sign of two CIRs interacting causing the IMF shock. I don't see any clear sign of a CME now that we have all this data. We might have fully switched over to the CH HSS now as well. An IMF total strength of 10nT might just be the current baseline as it was prior to the SIR arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justanerd Posted Friday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:26 PM 34 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ? I am weary of the hype, drama, and sensationalism from that user as well - - they just don’t seem to understand that people on here absolutely detest the fear mongering and drastic dramatic predictions based wholly on nothingness… I hate to do it but it seems blocking them is the only way to get rid of the nonsense 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members only Posted Friday at 09:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:02 PM 2 hours ago, Sunlive123 said: 3719 eruption is coming soon and it s HUGE ! Why are you even here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sagatha Posted Friday at 09:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:10 PM We had visible aurora from NSW Australia, pretty high up. Unfortunately in my location I got a full night of cloud cover and pouring rain 😞 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manuel Posted Friday at 10:00 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:00 PM Having a look at dolomites webcams here in Italy and looks like there's a faint pink in the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted Friday at 10:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:03 PM EPAM is rapidly increasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted Friday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:10 PM 7 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: EPAM is rapidly increasing EPAM was a good indicator for incoming CMEs or have I messed something up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mara Posted Friday at 10:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:12 PM Did anyone notice that since January last year we get disproportionately large geomagnetic storms from only minor to moderate solarstorms? Could the weakening magnetic field of the earth have anything to do with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani Posted Friday at 10:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:14 PM 11 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: EPAM is rapidly increasing Please explain what this means and where one can see this as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted Friday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:17 PM 2 minutes ago, Yani said: Please explain what this means and where one can see this as well You can see it on the SWL Site under Solar Activity where the solar protons are Just switch from protons to EPAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chronical Posted Friday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:21 PM This EPAM rise seems to be a fluctuation, but I'm not 100% certain. As we can see, it's already dropping back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted Friday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:26 PM 4 minutes ago, chronical said: This EPAM rise seems to be a fluctuation, but I'm not 100% certain. As we can see, it's already dropping back As of now it went back up a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted Friday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:32 PM A steep EPAMp rise can be seen as precede a CME arrival or can result from some kind of transition in the solar wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sismo2001 Posted Saturday at 02:06 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:06 AM Buenas noches, tengo aproximadamente 50 enlaces inalámbricos y a las 7:15pm hora de Venezuela fueron afectados disminuyendo un 75% de su capacidad de transmisión y recepción de datos, conocen algun caso parecido al mio? es que en 4 años no me habia sucedido a pesar de las demas tormentas. Gracias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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