I think this region is stealing complexity from 3712 😂

I

6 hours ago, Saturnitis said:

I think this region is stealing complexity from 3712 😂

Haha.  Also sucking MH area from someone else.  Growing like a rednecks lawn. ( I ought to know). 🤣🤣

does this region qualify as having a delta now?

is it possible that the 2 sunspots merge and create a bigger one? 

if this were to be possible and did happen what happens to the naming of it? which number would it take on?

 

my Prediction :  X class full halo CME on the far side  ( just trust me bro or read my paper, I will not respond to any critisism )  

11 hours ago, mozy said:

Talking about the growth.

for real though, I wake up and just see that lol.

A little less than 24hr difference. I circled areas of interest with shear 

 

One without circles for a better comparison

Can't wait until it gets to the limb and starts sending X flares away from us

 

I'm a little salty

4 hours ago, Sagatha said:

Can't wait until it gets to the limb and starts sending X flares away from us

 

I'm a little salty

seriously it would be our luck. since the big x class flares of late may, we have had a whole heap of **** all. 

Edited June 20, 20241 yr by Prizma1227
Editor added my pervious post.... deleted

5 hours ago, Sagatha said:

Can't wait until it gets to the limb and starts sending X flares away from us

 

I'm a little salty

Damn right! An X45 flare followed by an X21 and an X5, right when it'll get to the limb.

6 hours ago, Parabolic said:

A little less than 24hr difference. I circled areas of interest with shear 

 

One without circles for a better comparison

I see on Solar Ham this region supposedly has a delta now. The shear is impressive but on our HMI pics even using the slider, I cannot see much. Nor obvious delta activity yet.  It seems to still be able to whack us with a cme if it gets hotter soon though.  Nice pics @Parabolicbtw. Mike. Edit. I checked solar soft ( lmsal) for recent activity and it has produced three mid-level C flares so somethings up!  

Edited June 20, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953
Recent 3713 activity

10 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

I see on Solar Ham this region supposedly has a delta now. The shear is impressive but on our HMI pics even using the slider, I cannot see much. Nor obvious delta activity yet.  It seems to still be able to whack us with a cme if it gets hotter soon though.  Nice pics @Parabolicbtw. Mike. Edit. I checked solar soft ( lmsal) for recent activity and it has produced three mid-level C flares so somethings up!  

 sadly no new hmi data for 1h -.-

This maybe the delta they are referring to?

2 minutes ago, Adohran said:

This maybe the delta they are referring to?

Maybe that one on the left, the small red dot could also be one as well as the bottom ones.

Still learning how to spot deltas correctly so correct me on any mistakes

Possibly, although I will defer to others on Delta’s @Adohran  Great memes lately. I’m almost afraid to look at UPT when ya post there or the memes area.   @Philalethes has really been great lately too.  😂😂😂

Is there a reason why the entire sun is now green and yellow as opposed to just the usual blotches that show up? Or is that a glitch/how it normally is? 

Just now, hamateur 1953 said:

Possibly, although I will defer to others on Delta’s @Adohran  Great memes lately. I’m almost afraid to look at UPT when ya post there or the memes area.   @Philalethes has really been great lately too.  😂😂😂

Lot's of great memes from others I've spotted in the section recently as well. By the way, I definitely need to look into shear in the near future, no clue what that's about

Just now, Yani said:

Is there a reason why the entire sun is now green and yellow as opposed to just the usual blotches that show up? Or is that a glitch/how it normally is? 

Asked myself the same question once HMI images updated, maybe they changed some settings?

Just now, Yani said:

Is there a reason why the entire sun is now green and yellow as opposed to just the usual blotches that show up? Or is that a glitch/how it normally is? 

It's about to asplode!

Nah, it's just a glitch that happens every now and then, not sure exactly what the cause is.

11 hours ago, rjbtv said:

does this region qualify as having a delta now?

12 minutes ago, Adohran said:

This maybe the delta they are referring to?

I would say it does qualify as a delta now, since there's hardly any separation in the penumbrae, but there doesn't seem to be much shear there, at least not from the last vector magnetogram from yesterday, nor from looking at it now (more shear tends to occur where the delta spots are squeezed more together). I guess we'll see how it continues to develop.

2 minutes ago, Philalethes said:

Nah, it's just a glitch that happens every now and then, not sure exactly what the cause is.

11 hours ago, rjbtv said:

Something you've seen before? lol I was like "WOAH". But the uncolorzied updated magnetogram looks normal (just with the spots shifted towards the limb ever so slightly) 

17 minutes ago, Yani said:

Something you've seen before? lol I was like "WOAH". But the uncolorzied updated magnetogram looks normal (just with the spots shifted towards the limb ever so slightly) 

yeah weve seen it a lot of times

Back to normal. Assume SWL will update later 

New loops might lead to a decent flare, finally. 🤞

I wonder if these spots here will end up possibly being the footpoints

@Patrick P.A. Geryl:

Quote

I disagree.

Of course 3654 came back! It is everywhere on the internet... = 3713...

Seems extremely unlikely. If we try to make this be true, even by considering 3685 to be the intermediate region in the rotation between the two, we find that there's almost a 20° gap between the Carrington longitudes of 3654 and 3685, let alone the additional ~10° gap to 3713, for a total of almost 30° between 3654 and 3713. Even assuming the virtual maximum of prograde drift by being generous with the latitude, which would be around ~10° per rotation, you still wouldn't get there, and that amount of drift is unlikely.

Here you can see the longitudes of the regions:

Looks like an extremely poor match if you ask me. While some drift can be seen for 3654 itself, this tends to go back and forth over time from looking at some regions that persist, and you can e.g. see 3685 appearing to drift the other way.

You'd also have to explain a significant amount of drift in the latitudes too:

Granted, I'm not saying it's impossible for these regions to somehow be related by the underlying movement of the fields producing them, but to make bold proclamations equating them with certainty seems totally unwarranted, especially when looking at how different the longitudes are.