cgrant26 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 (edited) Long duration flare peaking at M2.59. Kind of funny that after the slew of X flares we had earlier this month there isn't even a topic for this region yet as it closes in on the Western limb and has been β-γ-δ and popping off several M flares for a few days now. lol Edited May 23 by cgrant26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balarius Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 I've been considering making this myself, but talked myself out of it because one of the rules is, "when it comes back around, make a new topic dont revive the old," lol This and 3683 became active right when leaving us, quite rude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgrant26 Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 (edited) I just attribute it to us being spoiled and and looking down our collective noses at lowly M flares. 😄 Edited May 23 by cgrant26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 43 minutes ago, cgrant26 said: I just attribute it to us being spoiled and and looking down our collective noses at lowly M flares. 😄 🤣🤣ain’t that the truth! As it approaches the west limb too. X flaring probably in the cards. Unless I am mistaken this region seems to be building up for an X. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balarius Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 5 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said: 🤣🤣ain’t that the truth! As it approaches the west limb too. X flaring probably in the cards. Unless I am mistaken this region seems to be building up for an X. Wholly agree lol. Every consecutive flare is longer in duration or has a stronger peak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Shriver Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 56 minutes ago, cgrant26 said: I just attribute it to us being spoiled and and looking down our collective noses at lowly M flares. 😄 I've seen what happens when the Sun is utterly quiet. Some folks will get desperate enough to discuss anything and everything mundane; it's a simple matter of how much there is to review, for the time being. If you're already poised to have a focused discussion on the same level as the one around 3664, there couldn't possibly be enough time since then to truly grasp what occurred over the course of the spot's traversal. Also, it gives very little value to "discuss" every single flare and sunspot, so unless there is a question, I am perfectly 100% okay with sunspots not getting their own thread when there isn't a pertinent or meaningful discussion around it. It is borderline "posting just to post" and I hope it isn't in some vain to game-ify the forum ranks/points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misaka Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 (edited) The M2.59 Flare launched a CME. But it will most likely not hit us. Edited May 23 by Misaka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Thanks for that @Misaka I was wondering if we might get grazed a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 12 minutes ago, Misaka said: The M2.59 Flare launched a CME. But it will most likely not hit us. thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balarius Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 The solar X-ray average has steadily been increasing the past 3 days. All associated with 3679? 3685 has been almost entirely inactive in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 3 hours ago, Balarius said: The solar X-ray average has steadily been increasing the past 3 days. All associated with 3679? 3685 has been almost entirely inactive in that time frame. Yes, it certainly has . F10.7 has dropped a bit at 17:00 utc to 180 and may drop for a few more days until whatever is left of 3664 shows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRealGenesis Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 Just got a feeling in my stomach this one is gonna be a real monster by the time it swings back around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 A steadily rising background flux is always good news to us here That and huge loops on the limb of hope 👍I still cannot believe last weeks luck in Washington State either Great wx and Bz 😺😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 2 hours ago, TheRealGenesis said: У меня такое чувство в животе, что к тому времени, как он развернется, этот будет настоящим монстром. I don't think he's going to turn into a monster, my friend, and certainly not in this passage on the side of the sun facing us. My guess is that its power is mostly in the M class and maybe a few not-too-high X-class. Shall we see? It will be somewhere around June 11-12. Have a nice day, dear friend. 🙏😊 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 48 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said: A steadily rising background flux is always good news to us here That and huge loops on the limb of hope 👍I still cannot believe last weeks luck in Washington State either Great wx and Bz 😺😎 8 minutes ago, Maitreya said: I don't think he's going to turn into a monster, my friend, and certainly not in this passage on the side of the sun facing us. My guess is that its power is mostly in the M class and maybe a few not-too-high X-class. Shall we see? It will be somewhere around June 11-12. Have a nice day, dear friend. 🙏😊 im a bit confused, is this now about this region (topic) or about the incoming (returning) regions? Excuse my confusion, i had a long week 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRealGenesis Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 27 minutes ago, Maitreya said: I don't think he's going to turn into a monster, my friend, and certainly not in this passage on the side of the sun facing us. My guess is that its power is mostly in the M class and maybe a few not-too-high X-class. Shall we see? It will be somewhere around June 11-12. Have a nice day, dear friend. 🙏😊 My dear friend from Russia thank you for this wonderful insight. I am hoping for the best as I am always optimistic. Let’s hope for some brilliant light shows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 42 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: я немного запутался, это сейчас об этом регионе (теме) или о входящих (возвращающихся) регионах? Извините за путаницу, у меня была долгая неделя 😅 Greetings, dear friend. We were just discussing 3664, which made a lot of noise at the beginning of May, and which should soon return to our line of sight. It's good to see you, my friend.🙏🙏 37 minutes ago, TheRealGenesis said: Мой дорогой друг из России, спасибо тебе за это замечательное понимание. Я надеюсь на лучшее, поскольку я всегда оптимистичен. Будем надеяться на несколько блестящих световых шоу! Yes, my friend, I see we are all a little bored by the sight of the "dormant" Sun... The show must go on!⏰😊 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 Looks like it is giving us another goodbye kiss. M1.38. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ingolf Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 10 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said: Looks like it is giving us another goodbye kiss. M1.38. I think it was way more than 1.38 but it's already too far behind the limb. SDO AIA 131 picture was too bright for 1.38 in my opinion. What do you think? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misaka Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 32 minutes ago, Ingolf said: I think it was way more than 1.38 but it's already too far behind the limb. SDO AIA 131 picture was too bright for 1.38 in my opinion. What do you think? Let's see what STIX says about the strength of the flare. I could really get used to a farside satellite like that. 😄 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 (edited) 55 minutes ago, Ingolf said: I think it was way more than 1.38 but it's already too far behind the limb. SDO AIA 131 picture was too bright for 1.38 in my opinion. What do you think? Nah, it was weak and we still see Its spots on SDO. M2 at most I'd say Edited May 24 by mozy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 (edited) 1 hour ago, Ingolf said: I think it was way more than 1.38 but it's already too far behind the limb. SDO AIA 131 picture was too bright for 1.38 in my opinion. What do you think? Agreed @Ingolf It displayed the diffraction spikes that typically we see when M class are at upper levels. I should add that this is highly subjective on my part alone and if anyone here has contradictory information, please speak up. Or forever be magnetically caged. 🤣 Edited May 24 by hamateur 1953 Solicited contrary information. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Shriver Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 17 hours ago, TheRealGenesis said: Just got a feeling in my stomach this one is gonna be a real monster by the time it swings back around. Fortunately, we don't forecast with feelings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 6 hours ago, Misaka said: Let's see what STIX says about the strength of the flare. I could really get used to a farside satellite like that. 😄 Amen. The backside X from 3664 was evidently over ten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted May 26 Share Posted May 26 On 5/24/2024 at 4:15 AM, TheRealGenesis said: Just got a feeling in my stomach this one is gonna be a real monster by the time it swings back around. One can always hope, but I think you'll find we're usually disappointed. Complex sunspots usually do not persist for long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now