Popular Post Marcel de Bont Posted May 11 Popular Post Share Posted May 11 We are continuing the discussion about the ongoing May 2024 geomagnetic storms in this new topic. This is a continuation from this topic. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgrant26 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Totally understand. Much better having the site tools 100% and losing the forums for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slongtrain31 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Thanks for bringing the boards back up! Just to share what I'm doing today from Wash. DC, USA . Most Recent ENLIL run shows a second mode of the CME activity peaking tonight. It may seem quiet now, but remember how fast the last peak had an onset. I'm watching the magnetometers on GEO and ACE for any signal of the CME that's coming our way from the X class flares over the past 24 hours. (one of them X5.8). I'm also looking at cloud cover near my home on accuweather, but if someone has a better easy to use and open source tool, let me know. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ingolf Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 I was too busy with being out in the field, maybe it's already asked? Is there already a name for this event? Like Carrington, Halloween, Bastile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 7 minutes ago, Ingolf said: s there already a name for this event? Like Carrington, Halloween, Bastile... I dont think its that significant yet....i might be wrong though. i haven't been watching space weather for awhile now. XDD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisVQC Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 There looks like an absolute beast of activity both coming around now and also a few days later from the far side of the Sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 (edited) This has just been published by noaa. I have to be honest, I'm a bit surprised about it. Because according to Solarham and the forecasters from MET and others on the CME scoreboard (I checked the notes), the CME from the X5 flare was more of a grazing shot with the bulk missing to the west. They were partially halo. I read on Twitter and asked around, and most experts were of the opinion they were not full hits and that we already had the strongest yesterday. So where is this strong warning coming from? Is it because they are fast? Or is an impact of 1-2 CME expected tonight, which could intensify the arrival, as you can see in the photo that Kp 7.67 is predicted? I hope someone can give some input here or at least we can think about it together. I also haven't seen a re-run of Enlil (but I'll have to check again) that was made today. I've already puzzled with someone on Twitter about whether it might be such a "strong" warning since the field is already "prepared" and could possibly slide into storm faster or they want to warn their costumers naturally enough. Sorry for this wall of text, opinions appreciated. Edited May 11 by MinYoongi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyril Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 11 minutes ago, Ingolf said: I was too busy with being out in the field, maybe it's already asked? Is there already a name for this event? Like Carrington, Halloween, Bastile... 4 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: I dont think its that significant yet....i might be wrong though. i haven't been watching space weather for awhile now. XDD Olympics event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 1 minute ago, ChrisVQC said: There looks like an absolute beast of activity both coming around now and also a few days later from the far side of the Sun. This is not the right thread for that, lets talk in incoming regions about this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 4 minutes ago, Ingolf said: I was too busy with being out in the field, maybe it's already asked? Is there already a name for this event? Like Carrington, Halloween, Bastile... Someone suggested naming it "Mother's Day storm", but I don't think the community has settled into a specific name. Typically such happens fairly organically, so I guess we'll see eventually what becomes most prevalent. People should throw out some suggestions for each other to see, then we'll see what sticks, heh. I somewhat facetiously suggested calling it the "Han storm" since I saw the first recorded dated mention of sunspot observations being listed as a date corresponding to May 10 in the Book of Han, but that was more to make it clear that there isn't any universally agreed-upon name yet. We could even make May 10 the official yearly "Sunspot Day" and call it the Sunspot Day storm. The international Sun Day (like Earth Day) was just recently on May 3 too, and seems more fitting, so we could call it the "Sun Day storm". It might of course also just end up being referred to in literature and elsewhere as something boring like the "May storm of 2024", like most storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 2 minutes ago, Philalethes said: something boring like the "May storm of 2024", like most storms. Hey, i mean...even that sounds interesting lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misaka Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Things are not looking so good for Aurora in Europe at the moment. Hopefully North America will have better luck later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 1 minute ago, Misaka said: Things are not looking so good for Aurora in Europe at the moment. Hopefully North America will have better luck later. dw, clouds will roll in when there is a KP10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenb0576 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 5 minutes ago, Misaka said: Things are not looking so good for Aurora in Europe at the moment. Hopefully North America will have better luck later. Hoping something happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hogtown Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 14 minutes ago, Misaka said: Things are not looking so good for Aurora in Europe at the moment. Hopefully North America will have better luck later. Not looking good in my neck of Canada either (GTA). Rain all night tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 1 minute ago, Hogtown said: Not looking good in my neck of Canada either (GTA). Rain all night tonight damn and i have clear skies? I dont think this weather is real....xd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 I think CME #7 is the only one that can arrive now. The velocities look way to high for any CMEs before it to arrive, if they didn't arrive already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NSwx Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: I think CME #7 is the only one that can arrive now. The velocities look way to high for any CMEs before it to arrive, if they didn't arrive already. That would be from the x6 flare late last night correct ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Just now, NSwx said: That would be from the x6 flare late last night correct ? Yes X5.89 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curiousfella Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 I'm discovering this community, I love this ! I learn so mutch tonight, I'm triyng to figure out if there IS anu chance to sée it again this night or tomorow in Europe, any tips and paramètre to look AT ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Hello guys, I'm glad that the forums are back, I'm here to comment on something, remember that I said that if I took a photo once and said it was my city, it would be a rather strong storm, right? well.. Today I heard that the northern lights were seen yesterday in the caves. For a moment I thought it was just ushuhia, but no, and I looked for the news. and also the northern lights appearing in pinamar, a city near my city, which would be 1 hour from here, and this is a photo of the city of pinamar yesterday 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 10 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: I think CME #7 is the only one that can arrive now. The velocities look way to high for any CMEs before it to arrive, if they didn't arrive already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Glowman Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Does anybody knows the origin url or other of this grapics in the post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 8 minutes ago, curiousfella said: I'm discovering this community, I love this ! I learn so mutch tonight, I'm triyng to figure out if there IS anu chance to sée it again this night or tomorow in Europe, any tips and paramètre to look AT ? Keep an eye on any local magnetomers and watch for large fluctuations in the data for the live activity. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity/magnetometers.html#Stackplot_EU 3 minutes ago, Glowman said: Does anybody knows the origin url or other of this grapics in the post? It is easy to go through them here. There can be several runs per CME. https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/index.jsp?i_1=698&l_1=40&t_1=270&w_1=650&h_1=450&s_1=0_0_0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 7 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: We would also realize the cme with stereo A since the cme X 5.89 is in the west direction where our beloved STEREO A is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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