Looking at the SUVI 304 movie, there’s definitely still some turbulent motion within the central part of the filament. There’s also another filament eruption occurring on the northeast limb. 

Edited November 11, 2024Nov 11 by Sammy

We're just now getting some good dimming images from Solar Demon. I think we will need more frames still but this is interesting. It looks like a snake uncoiling !

* I highly recommend watching the video https://www.sidc.be/solardemon/dimmings_details.php?science=0&dimming_id=11651&delay=80&prefix=pBDI_&small=1&aid=0&graph=1

 

 

Edited November 11, 2024Nov 11 by Cokelley

this is a good looking cme

almost like its expanding

1 minute ago, oaooaiia9i98 said:

this is a good looking cme

That depends on whether this is Earth-directed or not.

It is in a decent position though, so there's a good chance.

could be looks like it looks close enough and its expanding.

Looks like a ring of fire:

yeah and looks very compact and expanding

Seeing this for the first time today, and to me looks directed pretty south, could be wrong but doesn’t look great to me the direction it was launched 

Yeah this looks pretty Decent👍

well it does look good positioned and its expanding possible

well just have to keep looking at the imagery.too

to me it looks like a decent CME Possibly directed towards earth

but it could fizzle out too

6 minutes ago, Jay said:

Seeing this for the first time today, and to me looks directed pretty south, could be wrong but doesn’t look great to me the direction it was launched 

I agree, this looks south mostly. Don't know if we'll get involved. I doubt it

Just now, Manuel said:

I agree, this looks south mostly. Don't know if we'll get involved. I doubt it

Yup. I’d imagine best case is we may see an enhancement to the CH HSS that’s approaching from the NH CH as the edge of the CME enters the area of enhanced solar wind and gets caught by it. Sorta like the one that passed a couple days ago that may have had a few weak embedded CMEs 

Hey all. Latest magnetogram looks crazy. Is that a data error or did the surface destabalize and release filaments?

1 minute ago, Kris in So Or said:

Hey all. Latest magnetogram looks crazy. Is that a data error or did the surface destabalize and release filaments?

We definitely had at least one filament eruption today. Take a look at earlier posts on this thread, it is a big meandering filament.

We still need to wait for more lasco data so we can see if the large CME from it expands in to a halo so we can determine if it is earth directed. 

40 minutes ago, Kris in So Or said:

Hey all. Latest magnetogram looks crazy. Is that a data error or did the surface destabalize and release filaments?

What magnetogram exactly do you mean?  this looks normal to me.  

4 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

I’m also seeing this. A lot of it looks to go south obviously but there’s also movement in the part that’s more earth facing. I don’t know if it’s collapsing back onto the sun or also ejecting. Maybe @Philalethes or @Jesterface23 know more since they’re more trained with their eyes 😁

Looking at the imagery so far I'd say it looks too southbound to be geoeffective, but there was indeed a part of the filament that looked like it was closer to the center of the disc. With how slow the eruption is it might be hard to spot that in the imagery, so I guess it's not impossible that there might be some component headed towards us, but I doubt it.

This looks like a earth Directed CME Its Headed Towards Earth I may be wrong but it looks Promising Its Also Dimming

Edited November 11, 2024Nov 11 by Peogauuia

4 minutes ago, Peogauuia said:

This looks like a earth Directed CME Its Comeing Towards Earth I may be wrong but it looks Promising

I'm an amateur just casually browsing over several months but the imagery of this gave me a gut 'WOW' feeling. I think it's a big one.

Yes It Looks Directly In Earths Position Hopefully We get A Impact And It Continues To Expand.

Will this cause problems 

I Have A Good Vibe About This one.

Will this cause problems? kinda panicking

 

Edited November 11, 2024Nov 11 by pikachukiller45

1 hour ago, Peogauuia said:

This looks like a earth Directed CME Its Headed Towards Earth I may be wrong but it looks Promising Its Also Dimming

does not look earth directed on any imagery. Typically with earth directed strikes you get a full asymmetrical halo more fully around the sun (the CME that caused the 10/10-11 storm is a good example.) this CME looks mostly directed south on LASCO. Dimming is only a signal of an eruption but not a signal of where it’s headed. This eruption looks to far south to cause anything notable here at earth. Maybe we get a portion of the CME that gets embedded in a CH HSS at best 

What interests me more is the southern part of the filament is still showing lots of movement/instability 

Edited November 11, 2024Nov 11 by Jay

Possibly The Filament That Lifted today is showing That the Material is still Moveing around There Could Still Be a Big Eruption Possibly 

Edited November 11, 2024Nov 11 by Peogauuia

So far I'd estimate we are in line for a glancing blow at minimum. But the CME is slow enough that it likely wouldn't survive to reach L1.

Maybe AR 3889 Will Show Some Activity Soon