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What just exploded?


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1 minute ago, SpaceStormChaser said:

Yes! X1.59! Still 5% chance for more…

I really don't know, the sunspot that shot that class x flare was 2838, the one with 5 percent probability is 2835, which is stable.

1 hour ago, Newbie said:

Gracias por vuestra respuesta. Es una mancha solar muy activa, 2838.

Thanks for your reply. It's a very active sunspot,  2838 😃

For a small sunspot, it is quite active until I throw a flare x, surprising without being large

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17 minuten geleden, daniel anderson zei:

I wonder why it would do a X event.

Because the sunspot region is unstable and because of that it shows off with impulsive strong solar flares. Because the region das already near the limb, it’s magnetic configuration couldn’t be seen correctly making it hard to evaluate the region. 

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I would like to know whether it is true that impulsive flares indicate significcant and fast growth of a region and as long as it becomes very complex, it can start to produce long-duration flares?

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An X Flare! First one for SC 25! What a beautiful thing to wake up to this morning! 😃

For all those in America it happened on the 4th July, down here in Australia anyway (AEST)!😜

Pity it's disappearing behind the limb.

 

 

 

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This is a head-scratcher insofar as how quickly it produced C, M, and X flares within 24 hours (or less) of the first sunspots being detected.

I watched this region quickly develop since it was near the large sunspot-free plage region I'd been tracking.  I saw the first hint of what would become AR2838 on 2021 Jul 02 1700.  It looked like somebody was pushing up a 4th-of-July sparkler to the surface of the Sun.  The first C-flare from that region occurred about 10 hours later, followed soon after of course by three more C, two M, and one X flares by 2021 Jul 03 1700.

The SWPC Forecast Discussion for 2021 Jul 03 0030 UTC noted a region of solar flux near NW limb.  No AR was assigned.  At that time the area had not yet rotated so close to the limb to preclude sunspot analysis.  There simply were no sunspots present at that time.  There were a few small pinpoint-sized pores in the visible light imagery, but not large enough to be sunspots.

The Sun is strange.

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3 hours ago, Drax Spacex said:

The Sun is strange.

  The Sun is strange! That's why we love following its activity. 

 

52 minutes ago, Christopher S. said:

I always sleep through the fun stuff. Dammit. 🤪

Still good when you first find out about fun stuff though. 😃

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Fun fact:

  • In SC24 it took 1138 days to have the first X-class solar flare (3 years, 1 month, 11 days)
  • In SC23 it took 552 days for the first X-class solar flare (1 year, 6 months, 3 days)

So SC25 is with 597 days (1 year, 7 months, 19 days) pretty early in comparison to SC24 and similar to SC23...

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4 hours ago, Vancanneyt Sander said:

Fun fact:

  • In SC24 it took 1138 days to have the first X-class solar flare (3 years, 1 month, 11 days)
  • In SC23 it took 552 days for the first X-class solar flare (1 year, 6 months, 3 days)

So SC25 is with 597 days (1 year, 7 months, 19 days) pretty early in comparison to SC24 and similar to SC23...

So here's hoping that SC25 resembles and even exceeds SC23.

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