Isatsuki San Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 The solar flare M1.11 was due to instability of the sunspots or because of the magnetic reconnection? I want to ask why before that it was giving solar flares of class B more followed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Region 12816 has grown over the past 24 hours and gained a more complex magnetic structure. It’s a beta gamma region which can produce more C-flares and low level M-class. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 42 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: La región 12816 ha crecido durante las últimas 24 horas y ha ganado una estructura magnética más compleja. Es una región beta gamma que puede producir más llamaradas C y clase M de bajo nivel. ah then it can't produce a solar flare x right? , is if I'm honest I saw a video of a youtubers, it is that I do not have to guide so many with youtuber so I asked here, but the youtuber said, that in 4 or 5 days that sunspot was going to make a reconnection of its magnetic and and I was going to make a solar flare x, I know that I do not have to trust so much in things that I see on YouTube, so I asked, the questions I ask here, are my doubts, because I do not trust so much the information that you give youtuber or a page web, that's why I ask you 48 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Region 12816 has grown over the past 24 hours and gained a more complex magnetic structure. It’s a beta gamma region which can produce more C-flares and low level M-class. That is why I always appreciate your answering me, because sometimes, I really am with a lot of doubts about the sun, but thank you very much for answering me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 as long as it doesn't have any delta structures, there's no risk for X-class solar flares. Don't listen to the crap of YouTubers 😉 you can't tell if a sunspot will produce strong flares 5 days upfront. Solar flares can only happen if the sunspot region itself is magnetically complex enough to be capable of producing these events. Sunspot regions can change rapidly in 24 hours so you can only look into the near future to see what's possible based on it's current magnetic layout. Region 2817 is the region which is now magnetically the most complex on the visible solar disk and is producing loads of B-flares currently. I wouldn't be surprised if this region sursprised us with a low level M-class flare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 11 hours ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Siempre que no tenga ninguna estructura delta, no hay riesgo de erupciones solares de clase X. No escuches la mierda de los YouTubers 😉 no puedes saber si una mancha solar producirá fuertes llamaradas 5 días antes. Las erupciones solares solo pueden ocurrir si la región de la mancha solar en sí es lo suficientemente compleja magnéticamente como para ser capaz de producir estos eventos. Las regiones de manchas solares pueden cambiar rápidamente en 24 horas, por lo que solo puede mirar hacia el futuro cercano para ver lo que es posible en función de su diseño magnético actual. La región 2817 es la región que ahora es magnéticamente la más compleja en el disco solar visible y está produciendo cargas de llamaradas B actualmente. No me sorprendería que esta región nos sorprendiera con un destello de clase M de bajo nivel. Can I ask something, for you, the direction that the solar cycle is taking as activity is like a cycle 23 or a cycle 24? Maybe this 2021 would be like 2010 because you were seeing in history that in 2010 the sunspots that launched m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Too early to start comparing with other cycles, wait a few years till we know more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted April 21, 2021 Author Share Posted April 21, 2021 (edited) 1 hour ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Demasiado pronto para comenzar a comparar con otros ciclos, espere unos años hasta que sepamos más. sorry for asking a lot of questions, but I saw that the 12816 manchas solar has like 3 Nucleus, in that normal in a sunspot or does it mean inetablity? Edited April 21, 2021 by Isatsuki San I'm sorry sometimes the translator fails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 the two big spots have an equal magnetic polarity so they are stable. A sunspot group can become more unstable if sunspots of different polarity are close to eachother (preferably within the same penumbra). See our help article 'The magnetic classification of Sunspots'for more info 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted April 22, 2021 Author Share Posted April 22, 2021 (edited) 20 hours ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: the two big spots have an equal magnetic polarity so they are stable. A sunspot group can become more unstable if sunspots of different polarity are close to eachother (preferably within the same penumbra). See our help article 'The magnetic classification of Sunspots'for more info one more question,may i ask what is your point of view with pratick geril's theory? And another separate question, because related to the sunspot 2816, why is c launched as a half crazy c, without lowering to b?, I know I will say it soon but it seems curious to me Edited April 22, 2021 by Isatsuki San Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 22, 2021 Share Posted April 22, 2021 Sunspots often crackle with B and C solar flares, nothing unusual as it is the normal life of a sunspot region. Solar flares can either be short duration and long duration, with long duration events the odds for a CME are higher. thus the long duration C-flare was an eruptive one with a fair posibility of an Earthward directed CME. Some major solar flares last for several hours before the x-rays return to background levels. With periods of high solar activity it can happen that the x-ray background flux stays within C-level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abc Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 I have seen that sunspot 2816 has developed a Beta-gamma class, does it mean that there is a greater potential for stronger flares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 yesterday it was beta-gamma (but not officially), now you can raw easily a line between the two polarities making it a beta region again. Beta-gamma regions have the capability of producing C-class flares and in some cases impulsive minor M-class flares but nothing huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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