Solar Storm - why is data not accurate?

[SunManGoo]

Look at the plasma densities, and solar wind speeds. Why only being accurately reported in Maryland? The storm is upon us, and it isn't a 'solar winds' hack nor 'corona' virus. Haven't seen these numbers in over 8 years, yet no warning. Thoughts? Another .. 'data reporting error?' How is this not being mentioned?

 

 

 

 

[Christopher S.]

If one monitoring station report is disparate from all others of the same kind, either that station has found isolated, small-scale "signals" or that station has erroneously reported incorrect data. Given that the chart from SWPC is using ACE and DSCOVR, and the UoM is using SOHO etc., the disparity of the two sets of data is to be expected. To this degree however, combined with a relatively weak geomagnetic response, suggests the UoM data is actually incorrect or at the very least, not representative of plasma/wind arrival and effects at Earth.

That said, nobody has talked about it because it has proven to be non-representative of the actual conditions that have developed. It is error. Nothing to worry about.

[SunManGoo]

https://t.co/1XHfu3sQDV?amp=1

 

 

 

^^^^ 

 

?

3 hours ago, Christopher S. said:

If one monitoring station report is disparate from all others of the same kind, either that station has found isolated, small-scale "signals" or that station has erroneously reported incorrect data. Given that the chart from SWPC is using ACE and DSCOVR, and the UoM is using SOHO etc., the disparity of the two sets of data is to be expected. To this degree however, combined with a relatively weak geomagnetic response, suggests the UoM data is actually incorrect or at the very least, not representative of plasma/wind arrival and effects at Earth.

That said, nobody has talked about it because it has proven to be non-representative of the actual conditions that have developed. It is error. Nothing to worry about.

Is this normal? Can someone explain to me why it's saying nothing in the forecast?

 

 

 

 

[solar investigator]

Hey guys. Please remember to thoroughly fact check. Noaa issued watch for G1 due to combined influence of the two filament eruptions and coronal hole. It just came a day earlier than expected. Filament eruptions can be much denser than typical eruptive CMES. Highest value I saw was 56p/m2. About the highest in 2 years I'm guessing. Quiet impressive this early on In the cycle

Definitely no errors. If however either ace or DSCVR showed enhancements solely without the other then yes it would've been some kind of misinterpretation or glitch. But both ACE. And DSCVR rendered the CME impact. There wasnt much of a shock onset cause it mingled with solar wind I think and is only about borderline 500km/s

I just wished the high south bz stayed longer☹️🥺 if that negative 14 bz stayed for about 2 hours we would've had chance of G3

And the stand off distance of the magnetosphere at peak went to 7.41 LD.... The orbital positions of satellites are around 7.1 LD so yeah it got pretty close.  What caused it was 55p/m2 at negative 11bz at I think from memory 370km/s it only lasted a few minutes 

Using the SWS magnetopause model which grabs data from DSCVR

4 hours ago, Christopher S. said:

If one monitoring station report is disparate from all others of the same kind, either that station has found isolated, small-scale "signals" or that station has erroneously reported incorrect data. Given that the chart from SWPC is using ACE and DSCOVR, and the UoM is using SOHO etc., the disparity of the two sets of data is to be expected. To this degree however, combined with a relatively weak geomagnetic response, suggests the UoM data is actually incorrect or at the very least, not representative of plasma/wind arrival and effects at Earth.

That said, nobody has talked about it because it has proven to be non-representative of the actual conditions that have developed. It is error. Nothing to worry about.

Yeah not error lol. Again NOAA had it forecasted. They probably were not expecting the density to go that high. But the CMEs were modeled to swipe earth. And clearly they did. For those who don't know. There was 2 filament eruptions few days ago. It originally definitely did not look like being close to earth directed, till peeps had a closer look

[Christopher S.]

Good catch. I'm of limited help on my phone, and didnt even know about the filament eruptions!

[solar investigator]

45 minutes ago, Christopher S. said:

Good catch. I'm of limited help on my phone, and didnt even know about the filament eruptions!

Yeah. Also it doesn't help that SDO and SOHO team were slack with their data. For 4 days all SDO and SOHO were stuck on the 31st. Probably cause it was the weekend. They were on holiday lol

[Jesterface23]

Missed this CME launch as wall lol. The CME may still be to come. After running some calculations I'd say it is 4 days of travel time at minimum and 4.5 days estimated.

[SunManGoo]

Please keep eyes open. Big day today. Before anyone calls me a tinfoil hat or a conspiracy theorist, or trying to drum up panic i'm not. Just meant to spread the message. This website is the first one that comes up when any 'normy' will google search 'solar flare' so it is important that we do not allow the public information to be narrated. I will provide more findings today, I am very new to the solar side of things but it's an aspect of the findings so I appreciate you others with experience giving honest opinions and not blaming on lense effects, anomalies, photoshop, etc.

Will post more when I can, ask yourself - and in the coming days, do not believe all of what you are lead to believe but do the research yourself, you may find the common misdirection is not so common. There is no spoon   Peace and love.

9 hours ago, solar investigator said:

Yeah. Also it doesn't help that SDO and SOHO team were slack with their data. For 4 days all SDO and SOHO were stuck on the 31st. Probably cause it was the weekend. They were on holiday lol

Or.... maybe there's a reason. Eyes open, stay skeptical.. dig. Good ones in charge.

Odd now that the video above that shows something quite odd that was again not really reported when they report on websites of even smaller events ( look at Dec ).. now there is this in the region I pointed out. Eyes open keep digging. 

 

 

https://postimg.cc/8scmsWFY
https://postimg.cc/RW57PDPr
https://postimg.cc/4mhvQgQb
https://postimg.cc/BtzcF6Hn
https://postimg.cc/Mn7ygm4n

My first dig task for you; go try and find the pictures from a source of that upper right region and compare to video. Make sure unedited and it matches. Then go look at 2021-01-05 SDO/ANA 193. At 16:07:53 UT. Onward, look - flash, shake.. There will be another.

 

111101062021

Zoomed, only part of the story. 

 

Edited January 6, 2021 by SunManGoo

[Marcel de Bont]

The blurred images from SDO AIA that you are posting are caused by a maneuver made by the space craft. They point SDO away from the Sun a couple of times to calibrate the AIA instrument. Nothing unusual and they do it a few times a year. http://sdoisgo.blogspot.com/2021/01/winter-calibration-maneuvers-january-6.html