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New active Region!


MinYoongi

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Hey Solar-Friends. :)

 

The new Region poses a 5% X-Class threat.

Do I need to be scared now? Im sorry if this sounds so dumb. There's just a LOT of fear Mongering in our Community. :(

Can someone maybe calm me down with that a bit?

I really try to be excited for beautiful aurora. :)

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1 hour ago, MinYoongi said:

Hey Solar-Friends. :)

 

The new Region poses a 5% X-Class threat.

Do I need to be scared now? Im sorry if this sounds so dumb. There's just a LOT of fear Mongering in our Community. :(

Can someone maybe calm me down with that a bit?

I really try to be excited for beautiful aurora. :)

You shouldn't worry too much about any flares being large enough to cause issues, we have great protection against these flares. During solar maximum we get X flares quite often and are of little concern to the majority of the population. The most I would expect is an M flare at greatest due to the lack of complexity in the magnetic layout of the sunspot region. I would say this is a region that is good and is of little concern. Might blast a few small-medium CMES in the coming days bringing us to maybe minor storm levels for a pretty show in high latitudes. But even those CMEs seem a little unlikely unless the region develops some delta spots for larger flares. I am hopeful that this region becomes more unstable for large flares in hope that we do get some M flares and an aurora show though.

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