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A small CME headed our Way?


KimSeokjin

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Hey Friends!¬†ūüėá

 

I saw this Post on twitter. Do you think the "cme 0" will impact us? Im a beginner so i try to school my forecasting. I think it looks really not dense and fast.. Lasco c2 seems to have not picked it up, and NOAA isnt talking about it. What do YOU guys expect ? I'd be thankful for your Opinions and help!

 

 

 

 

 

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You are right it is very slow and I can not see it on LASCO, just the little puff indeed on STEREO. If it indeed comes from the earth-facing area as being described on Twitter it could impact Earth. It does seem to have to the right trajectory if you only look at STEREO (as that's the only source we see this CME) but the low speed and the fact that it isn't visible on SOHO makes me think that any impact on Earth should be negligible.

That's why I choose to not bring it up on our social media channels.

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Thanks for the Answer!

In the newest Enlil Run, there is a small impact expected. But sadly Noaa isnt saying anything. :/

How come the Cme is not visible in Lasco btw? Sorry for the many "dumb" questions. Im just so willing to learn :)

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1 uur terug, Christopher S. zei:

I'm also curious about this. The website also mentions a coronal hole in Earth-facing position, but I cannot see that at all in any of the imagery. Solen.info/solar doesn't show it either.

There is a very unorganized and large darker area on the earth-facing side of the Sun which sparked an alert from our automatic detector but its not really a coronal hole.

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It may be the early arrival of the solar sector boundary crossing. From the earthquakes triggered and magnetic observatory activity beginning at about 11:00 2020-06-15 UTC, that what it appears. A good CME hit is usually a sudden assault and this was a gentle, gaining momentum assault.

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17 hours ago, Bruce Binion said:

It may be the early arrival of the solar sector boundary crossing. From the earthquakes triggered and magnetic observatory activity beginning at about 11:00 2020-06-15 UTC, that what it appears. A good CME hit is usually a sudden assault and this was a gentle, gaining momentum assault.

I didnt mean something that arrived, i meant something that will maybe arrive! But Swpc and Nasa didnt really run an Enlil-Run.. I dont know what to expect, if to expect anything at all. Thats why i asked if someone has a prediction/opinion! :)  Thanks for the Answer anyway, it was really informative

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